FNK:NASDAQFirst Trust Mid Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time
$57.22
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FNK is trading at $57.22, just below its 50‑day SMA of $58.52 but comfortably above the 20‑day SMA ($56.75) and the 200‑day SMA ($55.64), indicating short‑term pressure while still holding a longer‑term uptrend. RSI sits at 48.6, essentially neutral, and the MACD histogram is positive with a bullish signal line, suggesting modest upside momentum. The ETF is hovering near a key resistance level of $57.75 and above a support zone at $55.38, so a breakout could trigger further gains, yet the decreasing volume trend (2,786 shares today versus a 10‑day average of 5,380) flags limited buying pressure. Volatility over the past 30 days is 14.6%, and the maximum drawdown of roughly 9% reflects moderate risk, while a beta of 0.90 points to slightly lower sensitivity to market swings. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.74% is on the higher side for an ETF, but it offers a modest dividend yield of 1.42% and benefits from a low tracking error (zero). Market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” territory (Fear‑Greed Index 78.8), which could sustain short‑term price appreciation but also raises the risk of a rapid correction. Overall, FNK presents a balanced profile: value‑oriented exposure with a stable beta, modest income, and a neutral technical stance, tempered by liquidity constraints and higher costs.
Investors should watch the $57.75 resistance for a decisive breakout and monitor volume trends for confirmation. In a broader market rotation toward value, FNK’s mid‑cap value tilt could provide upside, yet the elevated expense ratio and thin trading volumes suggest a cautious approach, favoring holds or selective buys rather than aggressive positioning.
Investors should watch the $57.75 resistance for a decisive breakout and monitor volume trends for confirmation. In a broader market rotation toward value, FNK’s mid‑cap value tilt could provide upside, yet the elevated expense ratio and thin trading volumes suggest a cautious approach, favoring holds or selective buys rather than aggressive positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with bullish MACD signal
- Decreasing trading volume
- Neutral RSI indicating no overbought condition
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Value‑oriented mid‑cap exposure
- Low beta reducing market volatility impact
- Dividend yield providing modest income
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Historical strength of value style in downturns
- Consistent dividend yield
- Higher expense ratio and liquidity constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.74%
AUM$218.5M
Inception Date2011-04-19
Avg Daily Volume5,380
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.42%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.6
Support$55.38
Resistance$57.75
MA 20$56.75
MA 50$58.52
MA 200$55.64
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.90
Volatility14.61%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.