FM:TSXFirst Quantum Minerals Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-10 - not real-time
CA$46.30
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At CAD 46.30, First Quantum Minerals Ltd. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. The last 30 days have gained 20.6%. RSI sits at 57.1, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch CAD 42.90 as support and CAD 49.27 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 16.6, absent a reliable peer benchmark. The average analyst target implies 4.0% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 24.1% on a -1.4% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 41.7%, a beta of 2.21 and a maximum drawdown of 30.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 16.6, absent a reliable peer benchmark. The average analyst target implies 4.0% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 24.1% on a -1.4% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 41.7%, a beta of 2.21 and a maximum drawdown of 30.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.
Top Market Events
In United States "US" dollars, except where noted otherwise TORONTO, Ontario, July 28, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- First...Seeking Alpha1monFirst Quantum Minerals Ltd.Detailed price information for First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM-T from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 38.09
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 38.09
- 30-day volatility of 41.7%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -1.4%
- Negative return on equity of -1.2%
- Revenue growth of +24.1%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.10%
Profit Margin-1.44%
P/E Ratio16.6
ROE-1.24%
ROA2.09%
Debt/Equity66.09
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowCA$1.7B
Free Cash FlowCA$-91125000
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI57.1
SupportCA$42.90
ResistanceCA$49.27
MA 20CA$45.66
MA 50CA$41.82
MA 200CA$38.09
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.98
Valuation
Fair ValueCA$39.40
Target PriceCA$48.15
Upside/Downside4.01%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.21
Volatility41.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.