FISV:NASDAQFiserv, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$61.29
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fiserv’s stock is trading at $61.29, which sits just below the 20‑day SMA of 61.57 and well under the 50‑day SMA of 64.07, confirming a short‑term bearish bias. The 200‑day SMA remains near 110, indicating the long‑term trend is still strongly down‑trend. Technical support is identified around $57.90, while resistance hovers near $64.52, giving the price a narrow trading range. The RSI of 46 is neutral, and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting a modest bullish momentum despite the overall downtrend. Volume has been decreasing, and the 30‑day volatility is a lofty 46.9%, pointing to erratic price swings. With a beta of 0.74, Fiserv moves less than the market, yet its historical maximum drawdown of over 74% underscores substantial downside risk. The market sentiment gauge reads “Extreme Greed” at 76.75, implying that broader investor optimism may be overstretched for this stock.
On the valuation side, the forward PE of 6.76 and current PE of 9.67 are well below industry averages, while the price‑to‑book of 1.27 signals a modest discount to book value. Analyst consensus projects a mean target of $77.08, implying roughly a 25% upside from today’s level. The company does not pay a dividend, so income‑focused investors have no yield to rely on. Recent earnings beat expectations, but the guidance for 2026 was deemed disappointing, causing a 4.4% pre‑market slide and adding to short‑term uncertainty. Considering the cheap valuation, the upside potential, and the sector’s ongoing digital‑payments tailwinds, the stock appears undervalued, though the technical and news‑driven headwinds suggest caution in the near term.
On the valuation side, the forward PE of 6.76 and current PE of 9.67 are well below industry averages, while the price‑to‑book of 1.27 signals a modest discount to book value. Analyst consensus projects a mean target of $77.08, implying roughly a 25% upside from today’s level. The company does not pay a dividend, so income‑focused investors have no yield to rely on. Recent earnings beat expectations, but the guidance for 2026 was deemed disappointing, causing a 4.4% pre‑market slide and adding to short‑term uncertainty. Considering the cheap valuation, the upside potential, and the sector’s ongoing digital‑payments tailwinds, the stock appears undervalued, though the technical and news‑driven headwinds suggest caution in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support
- Bearish trend despite modest MACD bullishness
- Recent earnings outlook disappointment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Low forward PE and price‑to‑book
- Analyst upside potential of ~25%
- Sector tailwinds in digital payments
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued valuation relative to fundamentals
- Long‑term industry growth prospects
- Resilience despite high historical drawdown
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio9.7
P/B Ratio1.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.2
Support$57.90
Resistance$64.52
MA 20$61.57
MA 50$64.07
MA 200$109.81
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.75
Valuation
Target Price$77.08
Upside/Downside25.76%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.74
Volatility46.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.