FICO:NYSEFair Isaac Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time
$933.30
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At $933.30, Fair Isaac Corporation shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 27.1%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 30.4 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $885.00 and resistance at $1,188.80.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 27.1 times earnings below a sector average of 33.3. Analyst price targets sit 56.8% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 25.7% on a 34.1% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 8/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 89.3%, a beta of 0.43 and a maximum drawdown of 50.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 27.1 times earnings below a sector average of 33.3. Analyst price targets sit 56.8% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 25.7% on a 34.1% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 8/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 89.3%, a beta of 0.43 and a maximum drawdown of 50.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Fair Isaac NYSE:FICO added Alogram's AI-powered fraud intelligence suite to the FICO Marketplace, expanding tools...What Happened? Shares of credit scoring and analytics company FICO NYSE:FICO fell 6.8% in the afternoon session after...For decades, Fair Isaac Corporation NYSE:FICO maintained a virtual monopoly over the US mortgage credit scoring market,...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1300.62
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 27.1 versus sector average of 33.3
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1300.62
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 27.1 versus sector average of 33.3
- Analyst targets imply +56.8% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 34.1% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth25.70%
Profit Margin34.05%
P/E Ratio27.1
ROA39.98%
P/B Ratio-4.9
Op. Cash Flow$1.0B
Free Cash Flow$774.4M
Industry P/E33.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI30.4
Support$885.00
Resistance$1,188.80
MA 20$1,099.41
MA 50$1,162.59
MA 200$1,300.62
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.36
Valuation
Fair Value$987.71
Target Price$1,463.84
Upside/Downside56.85%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.43
Volatility89.27%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.