FGBIP:NASDAQFirst Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. - 6.75% Series A Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time
$17.16
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
First Guaranty Bancshares trades near its short‑term moving average, which sits just above the mid‑term average, suggesting a neutral price trend. The MACD line remains below its signal line, reinforcing bearish momentum, while the RSI is low, hinting at oversold conditions.
The valuation appears attractive with a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the sector average and a price‑to‑book ratio modestly above parity, yet profitability metrics are weak, reflected by negative returns on equity and assets. The dividend yield is notably high, but the payout sustainability is questionable given the earnings profile and cash flow constraints. Overall, the stock faces a blend of value appeal and fundamental headwinds, requiring cautious positioning.
The valuation appears attractive with a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the sector average and a price‑to‑book ratio modestly above parity, yet profitability metrics are weak, reflected by negative returns on equity and assets. The dividend yield is notably high, but the payout sustainability is questionable given the earnings profile and cash flow constraints. Overall, the stock faces a blend of value appeal and fundamental headwinds, requiring cautious positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD signal
- Low RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Price hovering near a key support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Valuation metrics look attractive relative to peers
- Weak profitability and negative return ratios
- High dividend yield but uncertain sustainability
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Persistently negative returns on equity and assets
- Earnings volatility and lack of forward earnings guidance
- Regulatory and credit risks inherent to regional banking
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.40%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE-23.28%
ROA-1.39%
P/B Ratio1.4
Industry P/E16.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI30.1
Support$17.01
Resistance$18.03
MA 20$17.72
MA 50$17.66
MA 200$17.70
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield9.72%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.01
Volatility9.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.