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FGBIP:NASDAQFirst Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. - 6.75% Series A Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time

$17.16

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Guaranty Bancshares trades near its short‑term moving average, which sits just above the mid‑term average, suggesting a neutral price trend. The MACD line remains below its signal line, reinforcing bearish momentum, while the RSI is low, hinting at oversold conditions.
The valuation appears attractive with a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the sector average and a price‑to‑book ratio modestly above parity, yet profitability metrics are weak, reflected by negative returns on equity and assets. The dividend yield is notably high, but the payout sustainability is questionable given the earnings profile and cash flow constraints. Overall, the stock faces a blend of value appeal and fundamental headwinds, requiring cautious positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Low RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price hovering near a key support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation metrics look attractive relative to peers
  • Weak profitability and negative return ratios
  • High dividend yield but uncertain sustainability

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Persistently negative returns on equity and assets
  • Earnings volatility and lack of forward earnings guidance
  • Regulatory and credit risks inherent to regional banking

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.40%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE-23.28%
ROA-1.39%
P/B Ratio1.4
Industry P/E16.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI30.1
Support$17.01
Resistance$18.03
MA 20$17.72
MA 50$17.66
MA 200$17.70
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield9.72%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.01
Volatility9.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.