FET:NYSEForum Energy Technologies, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$57.46
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Forum Energy Technologies is trading at $57.46, comfortably above its 20‑day ($58.69) and 50‑day ($58.52) SMAs, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while still respecting a clear support zone around $52.62 and a resistance ceiling near $65.43. The RSI sits near 49, suggesting neutral momentum, and the MACD has turned bearish, hinting at a possible short‑term pullback despite the overall bullish trend direction. Volume has been decreasing, and the 30‑day volatility is high at roughly 47%, with a beta close to 1.0, flagging elevated price swings. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $103.32 implies the stock is undervalued, offering a measurable upside of over 16% to the consensus $67 target and substantially more versus intrinsic value.
Fundamentally, the company posted an 8% revenue increase and a 14% EBITDA lift year‑over‑year, with net income surging 300% in Q1 2026, turning a previously negative profit margin toward improvement. Forward EPS of $2.67 translates to a forward P/E of 21.5, roughly in line with the industry average of 22.3, while the price‑to‑book (2.3×) and price‑to‑sales (0.8×) ratios remain modest. The balance sheet shows $37.5 M cash against $240 M debt, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity of 85%, and the firm does not pay a dividend. The business benefits from a record backlog and diversification across drilling, completions, artificial lift, and renewable‑energy‑related equipment, positioning it for continued growth despite cyclical energy‑sector dynamics.
Fundamentally, the company posted an 8% revenue increase and a 14% EBITDA lift year‑over‑year, with net income surging 300% in Q1 2026, turning a previously negative profit margin toward improvement. Forward EPS of $2.67 translates to a forward P/E of 21.5, roughly in line with the industry average of 22.3, while the price‑to‑book (2.3×) and price‑to‑sales (0.8×) ratios remain modest. The balance sheet shows $37.5 M cash against $240 M debt, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity of 85%, and the firm does not pay a dividend. The business benefits from a record backlog and diversification across drilling, completions, artificial lift, and renewable‑energy‑related equipment, positioning it for continued growth despite cyclical energy‑sector dynamics.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages with support at $52.62
- Positive earnings beat and strong Q1 backlog
- Technical bearish MACD suggests limited upside, making a modest entry attractive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings growth and EBITDA expansion
- DCF fair value indicating substantial upside
- Diversified product portfolio reducing reliance on any single segment
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Cyclical exposure to oil & gas markets and regulatory headwinds
- High leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~85%) requiring careful balance‑sheet management
- Strategic moves into renewable and defense sectors supporting sustainable growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.00%
Profit Margin-0.78%
P/E Ratio21.5
ROE-2.09%
ROA1.70%
Debt/Equity85.58
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$62.7M
Free Cash Flow$75.4M
Industry P/E22.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.7
Support$52.62
Resistance$65.43
MA 20$58.69
MA 50$58.52
MA 200$40.51
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.3
Valuation
Fair Value$103.32
Target Price$67.00
Upside/Downside16.60%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.04
Volatility47.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.