We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

FET:NYSEForum Energy Technologies, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$52.39

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Forum Energy Technologies is trading at $52.39, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $104.38, implying roughly a 28% upside. The stock sits under the 20‑day SMA (54.01) and the 50‑day SMA (56.99) but remains above the 200‑day SMA (42.99), indicating a neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish longer‑term bias. Technical momentum is modestly positive, with a bullish MACD signal and an RSI of 44 that suggests room for upward movement without being overbought. Recent earnings showed a turnaround: Q1 2026 revenue rose 8% to $209 M and net income turned positive at $4 M ($0.39 EPS), with adjusted earnings of $6 M ($0.47 EPS). Forward earnings are projected at $2.76 per share, yielding a forward P/E of 19 versus an industry average of 21, reinforcing the undervaluation narrative. The company generates strong free cash flow ($75 M) despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 85.6%, and its balance sheet is supported by $37 M of cash. Volatility is elevated at 48% over the past 30 days, but beta is near market (0.99), indicating price swings are largely market‑driven. Analyst sentiment is very positive, with a single “strong buy” rating and a target price of $67, aligning with the upside potential. However, the sector’s cyclical nature and the firm’s leverage introduce medium‑term risk. Overall, the confluence of a solid earnings rebound, attractive valuation metrics, and supportive technical signals makes FET a compelling near‑term play, while prudent monitoring of debt levels and sector dynamics remains essential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Positive Q1 earnings and revenue growth
  • Support level at $48.86 and bullish MACD crossover
  • Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings outlook with a forward P/E below industry average
  • Analyst strong‑buy rating and target price of $67
  • Strong free cash flow generation despite leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio creating balance‑sheet risk
  • Cyclical exposure of the oil & gas equipment sector
  • Long‑term upside potential evident in DCF valuation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.00%
Profit Margin-0.78%
P/E Ratio19.0
ROE-2.09%
ROA1.70%
Debt/Equity85.58
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$62.7M
Free Cash Flow$75.4M
Industry P/E21.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.1
Support$48.86
Resistance$59.00
MA 20$54.01
MA 50$57.00
MA 200$42.99
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair Value$104.38
Target Price$67.00
Upside/Downside27.89%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.99
Volatility48.15%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.