FER:NASDAQFerrovial SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-24 - not real-time
$62.84
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ferrovial N.V. trades at $62.84, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. It has lost 2.2% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 40.2, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $61.15 up to resistance at $66.97.
On valuation the read is overvalued — earnings multiple of 64.8 versus a 29.9 sector average, above the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 23.4% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 5.2% on a 6.1% profit margin. The 2.64% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 21.4%, a beta of 1.00 and a maximum drawdown of 17.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 4/10 conviction.
On valuation the read is overvalued — earnings multiple of 64.8 versus a 29.9 sector average, above the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 23.4% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 5.2% on a 6.1% profit margin. The 2.64% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 21.4%, a beta of 1.00 and a maximum drawdown of 17.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 4/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Microsoft and our third-party vendors use cookies to store and access information such as unique IDs and personal...Ferrovial stock climbed after a $9.2 billion Tennessee highway award added fresh U.S. contract momenSeeking Alpha25dFerrovial N.V. FER Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptGood afternoon, everybody. This is Silvia Ruiz...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 66.98
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 64.8 versus sector average of 29.9
- Dividend yield of 2.64% looks stretched against payout coverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 64.8 versus sector average of 29.9
- Dividend yield of 2.64% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +23.4% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.20%
Profit Margin6.15%
P/E Ratio64.8
ROE11.62%
ROA2.62%
Debt/Equity144.09
P/B Ratio6.8
Op. Cash Flow$2.5B
Free Cash Flow$889.6M
Industry P/E29.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI40.2
Support$61.15
Resistance$66.97
MA 20$64.60
MA 50$65.76
MA 200$66.98
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.41
Valuation
Fair Value$10.31
Target Price$77.56
Upside/Downside23.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.64%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.00
Volatility21.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.