FEMS:NASDAQFirst Trust Emerging Markets Small Cap AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time
$45.41
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FEMS is positioned near its short‑term support level with the price trading just above the 20‑day moving average and comfortably above the 200‑day average, suggesting a modest upside cushion. The relative strength index sits in the neutral zone, while the MACD shows a bullish crossover, reinforced by an increasing volume trend that signals growing market participation. The fund’s beta is below one, indicating lower volatility than the broader market, yet the 30‑day price swings remain elevated, reflecting the inherent risk of emerging‑market small caps. A recent double‑digit year‑to‑date gain, coupled with an “Extreme Greed” sentiment reading, adds momentum to the upside narrative. However, the fund carries a moderate expense ratio just under one percent and a modest dividend yield, which temper the total return outlook.
Long‑term investors should weigh the attractive growth potential of emerging‑market small caps against the currency exposure and higher volatility, while medium‑term participants may find the current risk‑adjusted profile suitable for a hold or modest addition, given the low tracking error and diversified exposure.
Long‑term investors should weigh the attractive growth potential of emerging‑market small caps against the currency exposure and higher volatility, while medium‑term participants may find the current risk‑adjusted profile suitable for a hold or modest addition, given the low tracking error and diversified exposure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover with positive histogram
- Increasing trading volume supporting momentum
- Price trading above short‑term support and moving averages
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Diversified emerging‑market small‑cap exposure
- Low beta and low tracking error reducing market‑related risk
- Moderate expense ratio preserving net returns
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential for higher growth in emerging‑market small caps
- Currency exposure and elevated volatility as risk considerations
- Sustainable dividend yield adding income component
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$272.6M
Inception Date2012-02-15
Avg Daily Volume34,210
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.72%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI51.1
Support$43.70
Resistance$46.47
MA 20$44.96
MA 50$45.78
MA 200$43.38
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.63
Volatility24.08%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.