FELE:NASDAQFranklin Electric Co., Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time
$102.17
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Franklin Electric trades around $102, comfortably above its 20‑day ($98.78) and 50‑day ($99.32) moving averages, with a bullish MACD histogram (+0.35) and a neutral RSI (57), suggesting short‑term momentum remains intact. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $35 and a forward P/E of 20—well below the industry average of 30—highlight a significant valuation gap, flagging the stock as potentially overvalued. Recent acquisition activity, notably the purchase of Wood Bros, could provide a modest growth catalyst, while the 1.12% dividend yield backed by a 32% payout ratio and solid free cash flow underscores dividend sustainability.
Risk metrics show a beta under 1 (0.85) and 30‑day volatility near 25%, indicating moderate price swings but lower systematic risk. The sector’s cyclical nature and the company’s global footprint introduce medium geographic exposure, yet regulatory and currency risks remain low. Overall, the stock’s price action is near the $103.9 resistance level, with support at $94.96, framing a cautious outlook pending further earnings clarity.
Risk metrics show a beta under 1 (0.85) and 30‑day volatility near 25%, indicating moderate price swings but lower systematic risk. The sector’s cyclical nature and the company’s global footprint introduce medium geographic exposure, yet regulatory and currency risks remain low. Overall, the stock’s price action is near the $103.9 resistance level, with support at $94.96, framing a cautious outlook pending further earnings clarity.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term averages but near resistance
- Bullish MACD yet neutral overall trend
- Stable volume and low beta limiting downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Acquisition of Wood Bros could lift earnings growth
- Forward P/E of 20 suggests improving valuation relative to peers
- High current price vs DCF fair value keeps upside limited
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend with modest payout ratio
- Consistent revenue growth (~10%) and solid cash generation
- Valuation gap remains wide, requiring a catalyst for price appreciation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.90%
Profit Margin6.91%
P/E Ratio30.8
ROE11.49%
ROA8.95%
Debt/Equity21.61
P/B Ratio3.4
Op. Cash Flow$217.5M
Free Cash Flow$89.4M
Industry P/E30.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.2
Support$94.96
Resistance$103.90
MA 20$98.78
MA 50$99.32
MA 200$97.29
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.71
Valuation
Fair Value$35.33
Target Price$113.25
Upside/Downside10.84%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.12%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.85
Volatility24.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.