FEIM:NASDAQFrequency Electronics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$75.28
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Frequency Electronics, Inc. is trading just above its 20‑day SMA at $75.28, with a bullish SMA hierarchy (20 > 50 > 200) but a bearish MACD histogram and a MACD line that sits marginally below its signal line, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. Momentum remains solid, as the RSI sits at 62 and the Fear & Greed Index reads 89.86 (Extreme Greed), while volatility is extremely high at roughly 96% over the past 30 days and beta is elevated at 2.74, indicating a stock that can swing sharply. Fundamentally, the company carries a steep PE of 103 versus an industry average of 37 and a PB of 12.3, pointing to an overvalued valuation, yet it has posted improving EPS (forward EPS $1.14) and a robust backlog exceeding $100 million, bolstered by recent $16 million U.S. government contracts. However, cash flow is a concern, with negative operating cash flow and a free cash flow deficit of $7.1 million alongside a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 13, highlighting liquidity strain.
The technical picture suggests caution in the near term as price hovers near the $79.69 resistance level and volume trends downward, but the new contract wins and expanding backlog provide a catalyst for medium‑term upside. Given the high valuation, cash burn, and sector volatility, a balanced view leans toward a “blend” investment thesis: growth potential exists but must be weighed against the current overvaluation and liquidity risks.
The technical picture suggests caution in the near term as price hovers near the $79.69 resistance level and volume trends downward, but the new contract wins and expanding backlog provide a catalyst for medium‑term upside. Given the high valuation, cash burn, and sector volatility, a balanced view leans toward a “blend” investment thesis: growth potential exists but must be weighed against the current overvaluation and liquidity risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume trend
- Extreme Greed sentiment may inflate price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- New $16 M U.S. government contracts
- Backlog surpassing $100 M indicating revenue runway
- Forward EPS growth and strong analyst “strong buy” rating
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High valuation multiples (PE >100, PB >12)
- Persistent cash‑flow deficits and high debt load
- Sector volatility and beta above 2
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.80%
Profit Margin10.62%
P/E Ratio103.1
ROE12.85%
ROA4.59%
Debt/Equity13.49
P/B Ratio12.3
Op. Cash Flow$-934000
Free Cash Flow$-7091000
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.9
Support$55.11
Resistance$79.69
MA 20$68.11
MA 50$60.46
MA 200$46.42
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$75.00
Upside/Downside-0.37%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.74
Volatility96.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.