We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

FEBZ:CBOETrueShares Structured Outcome (February) ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

$36.70

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FEBZ is trading at $36.70, essentially hugging its calculated support level of $36.70 while sitting just below the 20‑day SMA of $37.50 and the 50‑day SMA of $37.78. The RSI of 34.7 indicates modest oversold pressure, yet the MACD remains in bearish territory with the line under the signal, suggesting limited upside momentum. Volume has been rising, supporting the price’s ability to defend the support zone. The fund’s YTD return of 23.2% and a dividend yield of 3.19% provide attractive income in a market characterized by a “Greed” sentiment (FGI 72.9).
However, the ETF’s 30‑day volatility of 10.8% and a max drawdown of roughly 10.8% signal that price swings can be meaningful, while the beta of 0.73 points to lower correlation with broader equity markets. With zero tracking error, no premium/discount, and an expense ratio of 0.79%, the cost structure is modest, but the limited average daily volume (~3 k shares) introduces a medium liquidity risk. Overall, FEBZ sits in a neutral technical trend, and investors should weigh the income benefit against the modest downside risk before positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is at technical support with bearish MACD
  • Increasing volume supports current level
  • Oversold RSI suggests limited downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential move toward resistance at $38.00
  • Attractive 3.19% dividend yield
  • Low beta and zero tracking error provide stability

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent income generation from dividend
  • Lower market correlation (beta 0.73)
  • Modest expense ratio and no premium/discount risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.79%
AUM$14.0M
Inception Date2021-01-29
Avg Daily Volume1,950
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.19%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.7
Support$36.70
Resistance$38.00
MA 20$37.50
MA 50$37.78
MA 200$37.45
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.73
Volatility10.82%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.