FE:NYSEFirstEnergy Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time
$51.31
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) is trading at $51.31, comfortably above its 20‑day ($50.39) and 50‑day ($49.35) simple moving averages while still below the 200‑day SMA ($45.46), indicating a short‑term bullish bias within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 62 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.036) reinforce momentum, and the stock sits near its technical support at $48.20 with resistance at $52.29, offering a clear upside corridor. Valuation metrics show a forward P/E of 17.44 versus a trailing P/E of 29.15, and a DCF‑derived fair value of $94.40, suggesting the market may be undervaluing the business by a modest margin (upside/downside ≈ 2%). Dividend yield remains attractive at 3.65%, but a 100% payout ratio and negative free cash flow raise sustainability concerns. Recent news highlights a $950 million grid‑upgrade program and inclusion in top dividend utility lists, providing both growth catalysts and income appeal. However, the company carries a heavy debt load (Debt/Equity >190) and operates in a highly regulated environment, which could temper long‑term upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technicals (price above SMA20/50, RSI 62, bullish MACD)
- Positive market sentiment (Extreme Greed index)
- Support level at $48.20 with limited downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong dividend yield but unsustainable payout ratio
- High leverage (Debt/Equity ~193) limiting financial flexibility
- Grid‑upgrade investment could boost earnings growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value ($94.40) indicates significant undervaluation
- Revenue growth of ~20% and diversified generation mix
- Regulated utility stability offset by debt and regulatory exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth20.70%
Profit Margin6.84%
P/E Ratio29.2
ROE9.20%
ROA3.72%
Debt/Equity192.75
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$3.7B
Free Cash Flow$-1227874944
Industry P/E22.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.2
Support$48.20
Resistance$52.29
MA 20$50.39
MA 50$49.35
MA 200$45.46
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Valuation
Fair Value$94.40
Target Price$52.46
Upside/Downside2.24%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.65%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility14.29%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.