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FE:NYSEFirstEnergy Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time

$51.31

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) is trading at $51.31, comfortably above its 20‑day ($50.39) and 50‑day ($49.35) simple moving averages while still below the 200‑day SMA ($45.46), indicating a short‑term bullish bias within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 62 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.036) reinforce momentum, and the stock sits near its technical support at $48.20 with resistance at $52.29, offering a clear upside corridor. Valuation metrics show a forward P/E of 17.44 versus a trailing P/E of 29.15, and a DCF‑derived fair value of $94.40, suggesting the market may be undervaluing the business by a modest margin (upside/downside ≈ 2%). Dividend yield remains attractive at 3.65%, but a 100% payout ratio and negative free cash flow raise sustainability concerns. Recent news highlights a $950 million grid‑upgrade program and inclusion in top dividend utility lists, providing both growth catalysts and income appeal. However, the company carries a heavy debt load (Debt/Equity >190) and operates in a highly regulated environment, which could temper long‑term upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technicals (price above SMA20/50, RSI 62, bullish MACD)
  • Positive market sentiment (Extreme Greed index)
  • Support level at $48.20 with limited downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong dividend yield but unsustainable payout ratio
  • High leverage (Debt/Equity ~193) limiting financial flexibility
  • Grid‑upgrade investment could boost earnings growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value ($94.40) indicates significant undervaluation
  • Revenue growth of ~20% and diversified generation mix
  • Regulated utility stability offset by debt and regulatory exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.70%
Profit Margin6.84%
P/E Ratio29.2
ROE9.20%
ROA3.72%
Debt/Equity192.75
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$3.7B
Free Cash Flow$-1227874944
Industry P/E22.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI62.2
Support$48.20
Resistance$52.29
MA 20$50.39
MA 50$49.35
MA 200$45.46
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Valuation

Fair Value$94.40
Target Price$52.46
Upside/Downside2.24%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.17
Volatility14.29%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.