FE:NYSEFirstEnergy Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$50.93
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FirstEnergy delivered earnings that topped its guidance range and announced a multi‑billion dollar grid investment plan, underscoring strong operational momentum. Revenue growth remains robust, and the company’s profit margin expansion aligns with its strategic capital spending. The stock is trading above its short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, reinforcing a bullish technical backdrop, while the relative strength index signals an overbought condition. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram has turned negative, suggesting a potential short‑term pullback despite the overall bullish trend.
Valuation metrics present a mixed picture: a discounted cash flow model points to significant upside, yet the price‑to‑earnings multiple sits above the sector average. The dividend yield is compelling, but a payout ratio at the full threshold raises questions about long‑term sustainability. High leverage and a modest free cash flow profile add to the risk calculus, while the utility sector’s defensive nature and low beta temper overall volatility. Investors should weigh the attractive yield and growth prospects against the debt burden and near‑term technical softness.
Valuation metrics present a mixed picture: a discounted cash flow model points to significant upside, yet the price‑to‑earnings multiple sits above the sector average. The dividend yield is compelling, but a payout ratio at the full threshold raises questions about long‑term sustainability. High leverage and a modest free cash flow profile add to the risk calculus, while the utility sector’s defensive nature and low beta temper overall volatility. Investors should weigh the attractive yield and growth prospects against the debt burden and near‑term technical softness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price approaching resistance
- bearish MACD histogram
- overbought RSI reading
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- strong earnings beat and revenue acceleration
- undervalued DCF indication
- robust grid investment outlook
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- stable regulated cash flows
- attractive dividend yield
- long‑term infrastructure modernization plan
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth20.70%
Profit Margin6.84%
P/E Ratio28.9
ROE9.20%
ROA3.83%
Debt/Equity192.75
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$3.7B
Free Cash Flow$-1169124992
Industry P/E20.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI66.0
Support$46.71
Resistance$51.39
MA 20$50.08
MA 50$47.70
MA 200$44.67
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.52
Valuation
Fair Value$98.48
Target Price$51.85
Upside/Downside1.80%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.65%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.10
Volatility15.70%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.