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FE:NYSEFirstEnergy Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$50.93

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FirstEnergy delivered earnings that topped its guidance range and announced a multi‑billion dollar grid investment plan, underscoring strong operational momentum. Revenue growth remains robust, and the company’s profit margin expansion aligns with its strategic capital spending. The stock is trading above its short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, reinforcing a bullish technical backdrop, while the relative strength index signals an overbought condition. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram has turned negative, suggesting a potential short‑term pullback despite the overall bullish trend.
Valuation metrics present a mixed picture: a discounted cash flow model points to significant upside, yet the price‑to‑earnings multiple sits above the sector average. The dividend yield is compelling, but a payout ratio at the full threshold raises questions about long‑term sustainability. High leverage and a modest free cash flow profile add to the risk calculus, while the utility sector’s defensive nature and low beta temper overall volatility. Investors should weigh the attractive yield and growth prospects against the debt burden and near‑term technical softness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price approaching resistance
  • bearish MACD histogram
  • overbought RSI reading

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strong earnings beat and revenue acceleration
  • undervalued DCF indication
  • robust grid investment outlook

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • stable regulated cash flows
  • attractive dividend yield
  • long‑term infrastructure modernization plan

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.70%
Profit Margin6.84%
P/E Ratio28.9
ROE9.20%
ROA3.83%
Debt/Equity192.75
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$3.7B
Free Cash Flow$-1169124992
Industry P/E20.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI66.0
Support$46.71
Resistance$51.39
MA 20$50.08
MA 50$47.70
MA 200$44.67
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.52

Valuation

Fair Value$98.48
Target Price$51.85
Upside/Downside1.80%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility15.70%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.