FDUS:NASDAQFidus Investment Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fidus Investment Corp (FDUS) is trading at $17.75, just above its 20‑day SMA (17.67) but still below the 50‑day (18.36) and 200‑day (19.88) averages, indicating short‑term momentum but a longer‑term bearish backdrop. The RSI sits near 49 and the MACD histogram is modestly positive, suggesting neutral to mildly bullish technical bias, while volume is increasing and price sits between the calculated support ($16.87) and resistance ($18.54) levels. Fundamentals show a low PE of 7.65 versus an industry average of 16.6 and a sub‑1.0 price‑to‑book (0.91), pointing to relative value, yet the DCF fair value of $10.15 is far below the market price, highlighting an intrinsic overvaluation. The dividend yield is exceptionally high at 12.3% with a payout ratio of 93%, but a debt‑to‑equity of 86.8, negative operating cash flow, and a large debt balance raise concerns about dividend sustainability. Recent earnings beat (EPS $0.52 vs. $0.48 consensus) and a declared quarterly dividend of $0.52 provide short‑term positive news, but the company’s leverage and cash flow profile suggest caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price approaching resistance with limited upside
- High dividend payout ratio versus cash flow
- Intrinsic overvaluation per DCF
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Strong earnings beat and attractive dividend yield
- Valuation still below analyst targets (~$21)
- Elevated leverage balanced by steady earnings
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Sustained high debt‑to‑equity and negative operating cash flow
- Declining forward EPS and potential dividend cuts
- Price significantly above intrinsic fair value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.