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FDTS:NASDAQFirst Trust Developed Markets ex-US Small Cap AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time

$64.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FDTS is trading at $64.90, just below its 20‑day SMA of $65.05 and comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of $58.09, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within an overall uptrend. The RSI of 47.3 and a bullish MACD signal (histogram turning positive) suggest momentum is stabilizing, while the YTD return of 23% and a dividend yield of 2.38% underscore strong recent performance. Volatility remains elevated at 25.2% over the past 30 days, and volume is on a decreasing trend, reflecting reduced trading interest in this relatively small fund (≈$14.4 M AUM). The fund’s beta of 0.74 points to lower systematic risk, and the zero tracking error indicates tight alignment with its AlphaDEX benchmark. However, the modest expense ratio of 0.80% and the lack of fresh material news mean investors must rely on the quantitative backdrop. Overall, the fund appears positioned for a modest rebound, but liquidity constraints and high short‑term volatility warrant caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near immediate support at $62.34
  • Bullish MACD crossover despite neutral trend
  • Strong YTD return of 23% supporting momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive 2.38% dividend yield
  • Low beta (0.74) reducing market‑wide volatility exposure
  • Diversified small‑cap exposure across developed markets

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Zero tracking error ensuring benchmark fidelity
  • Moderate expense ratio (0.80%) for a niche AlphaDEX strategy
  • Long‑run growth potential in ex‑US developed‑market small caps

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$14.4M
Inception Date2012-02-15
Avg Daily Volume2,480
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.38%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.3
Support$62.34
Resistance$67.87
MA 20$65.05
MA 50$66.70
MA 200$58.09
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility25.19%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.