EXPE:NASDAQExpedia Group, Inc. Analysis

Expedia Group (EXPE) trades around $214, far below its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $694, implying a potential upside of more than 200% despite a bearish technical backdrop – RSI sits at 34, the MACD is in a bearish crossover, and the price is under the 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day moving averages, hovering just above the identified support of $206. Recent headlines highlight weak full‑year guidance and a drop in bookings outlook, which have pressured the stock despite the company posting solid earnings.
On the fundamentals side, EXPE delivered $15.2 B of revenue with 14.7% YoY growth, maintains an impressive 90% gross margin and a 7% operating margin, and generated $3.48 B of free cash flow. The balance sheet is net‑cash positive (cash $5.79 B vs debt $4.71 B), supports a sustainable dividend (0.81% yield, 14.8% payout), and forward EPS forecasts suggest earnings more than double the trailing figure. The recent acquisition of CarTrawler signals a strategic push to strengthen its B2B platform, reinforcing a longer‑run growth narrative.