EVN:ASXEvolution Mining Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time
A$12.11
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Evolution Mining is trading below its short‑term moving averages and the 200‑day average, yet the MACD histogram has turned positive, indicating early bullish momentum. The RSI sits in a neutral zone and volume has remained stable, suggesting no immediate pressure from sellers. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, with the discounted cash‑flow model pointing to a fair value substantially higher than the current price, and the dividend yield remains attractive with a modest payout ratio.
Recent corporate updates report solid growth in gold and copper reserves and a fresh exploration success, which dovetail with the broader bullish sentiment in gold miners. Combined with a strong cash‑flow generation and a sustainable dividend, these factors reinforce the upside thesis despite elevated short‑term volatility.
Recent corporate updates report solid growth in gold and copper reserves and a fresh exploration success, which dovetail with the broader bullish sentiment in gold miners. Combined with a strong cash‑flow generation and a sustainable dividend, these factors reinforce the upside thesis despite elevated short‑term volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD crossover
- Reserve growth news
- Attractive dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained gold price support
- Strong operating cash flow
- Undervaluation relative to DCF
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term commodity demand
- Robust balance sheet with low leverage
- Consistent dividend policy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth37.50%
Profit Margin25.97%
P/E Ratio18.3
ROE26.39%
ROA13.25%
Debt/Equity26.41
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash FlowA$2.4B
Free Cash FlowA$1.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.5
SupportA$11.27
ResistanceA$13.66
MA 20A$12.44
MA 50A$12.80
MA 200A$12.32
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.75
Valuation
Fair ValueA$20.53
Target PriceA$13.91
Upside/Downside14.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.21%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.14
Volatility53.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.