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EVAX:NASDAQEvaxion A/S Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$4.08

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Evaxion A/S shows encouraging clinical momentum, highlighted by Phase II data that demonstrated a high proportion of vaccine targets eliciting immune responses and an expanded AI‑Immunology platform now reaching glioblastoma indications. Technically, the stock sits near a key support level with RSI hovering around the neutral zone and a MACD that has turned bearish, while beta is well above one and volatility remains markedly high, suggesting pronounced price swings.
Fundamentally, the company is still operating at a loss with negative margins, no revenue growth, and a PE multiple that dwarfs the industry average, rendering the current valuation stretched despite analyst targets that imply substantial upside. The balance sheet is cash‑rich and debt‑free, providing runway, but the lack of cash flow and high drawdown risk underscore the speculative nature of the investment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and proximity to support
  • Elevated volatility and beta
  • Positive but early‑stage clinical readouts

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Upcoming data readouts from Phase II/III trials
  • Analyst price targets indicating significant upside
  • Cash runway with no debt to fund continued R&D

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term valuation stretch versus earnings
  • Dependence on successful commercialization of pipeline
  • Sector and regulatory headwinds typical for biotech

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin-129.60%
P/E Ratio102.0
ROE-82.93%
ROA-23.49%
P/B Ratio2.0
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.2
Support$3.89
Resistance$4.75
MA 20$4.21
MA 50$4.07
MA 200$4.40
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.66

Valuation

Target Price$11.25
Upside/Downside175.74%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.47
Volatility54.54%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.