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EREGL:BISTEregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari Futures Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-28 - not real-time

TRY 39.16

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Eregli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikalari T.A.S. trades at TRY 39.16, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. The last 30 days have lost 7.5%. RSI sits at 49.4, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at TRY 36.24 up to resistance at TRY 43.14.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 38.5%, a beta of -0.06 and a maximum drawdown of 27.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Seeking Alpha21dEregli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikalari T.Seeking Alpha21dEregli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikalari T.Barron's2monEregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari T.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 32.70
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day price change of -7.5%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 32.70
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day price change of -7.5%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Maximum drawdown of 27.1%
  • 30-day volatility of 38.5%
  • Beta of -0.06 versus the benchmark

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price39.16
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI49.4
SupportTRY 36.24
ResistanceTRY 43.14
MA 20TRY 38.69
MA 50TRY 40.45
MA 200TRY 32.70
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.61

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.06
Volatility38.54%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.