EPIBX:NASDAQEuroPac International Bond Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-22 - not real-time
$8.78
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $8.78, which sits below the 20‑day SMA (≈8.78) and further under the 50‑day (≈8.82) and 200‑day (≈8.95) averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. RSI at 46 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is marginally positive, giving a faint bullish signal. Price is perched between a clear support level of $8.75 and resistance near $8.81, so a break of either could set the next move. Volatility over the past 30 days is modest at roughly 4.8%, and the fund’s beta is very low (≈0.2), underscoring limited exposure to broader market swings. The maximum drawdown of about 5% is relatively contained for a bond‑focused vehicle. Dividend yield of 4.64% provides attractive income, though the YTD return is negative, and the expense ratio of 1.17% erodes part of that yield.
From a risk perspective, concentration and sector risks appear low, liquidity is strong for a mutual fund, and currency exposure is moderate given the Euro‑Pacific mandate. The extreme‑greed market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 91) could pressure bond prices, but the fund’s low systematic risk and solid income stream support a cautious stance. Overall, the fund sits in a narrow trading range with limited upside potential in the near term, while its defensive characteristics remain appealing for income‑seeking investors.
From a risk perspective, concentration and sector risks appear low, liquidity is strong for a mutual fund, and currency exposure is moderate given the Euro‑Pacific mandate. The extreme‑greed market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 91) could pressure bond prices, but the fund’s low systematic risk and solid income stream support a cautious stance. Overall, the fund sits in a narrow trading range with limited upside potential in the near term, while its defensive characteristics remain appealing for income‑seeking investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near immediate support
- Low beta limiting market volatility
- Neutral RSI and modest MACD bullish hint
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive 4.64% dividend yield
- Low systematic risk and limited drawdown
- Potential upside if price breaches resistance at $8.81
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Consistently low concentration and sector risk
- Stable income generation
- Moderate expense ratio balanced by yield
Key Metrics & Analysis
Mutual Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.17%
Turnover Ratio23.00%
BenchmarkBenchmark Not Disclosed
Max Drawdown-5.01%
Style DriftLow
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.2
Support$8.75
Resistance$8.81
MA 20$8.78
MA 50$8.82
MA 200$8.95
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.23
Risk Assessment
Beta0.20
Volatility4.83%
Sector RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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MUTUAL_FUNDThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.