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EPC:NYSEEdgewell Personal Care Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-05 - not real-time

$27.21

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Edgewell Personal Care (EPC) is trading at $27.21, just below its 52‑week high of $28.01 and the computed resistance level of $28.01. The stock sits above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages (23.81 > 21.36 > 20.06), and the MACD remains bullish, while a high RSI of 69.6 signals near‑term overbought pressure. Volume is increasing and beta is low at 0.35, suggesting limited market‑wide volatility, yet 30‑day price swings are elevated (~59 %).
Fundamentally, EPC posted modest revenue growth (0.6 %) and a healthy gross margin of 41 %, but profitability is still negative with a trailing EPS of –$0.23 and a profit margin of –3.5 %. Forward EPS is projected at $2.06, supporting a forward P/E of ~13, while the DCF fair value of $47.77 implies the current price is overvalued by roughly 10 %. The dividend yield of 2.21 % appears sustainable given a low payout ratio and positive free cash flow, though the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~88 %) and a recent max drawdown of –41 %.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup but RSI near overbought
  • Price hugging resistance and above DCF fair value
  • Recent market reaction to takeover rejection

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings improvement and margin expansion
  • Strategic exit from low‑margin feminine care segment
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap versus DCF and analyst price targets
  • High leverage and modest revenue growth
  • Defensive consumer‑staples positioning with low beta

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.60%
Profit Margin-3.48%
P/E Ratio13.2
ROE-0.71%
ROA3.20%
Debt/Equity88.36
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$117.3M
Free Cash Flow$235.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI69.6
Support$18.97
Resistance$28.01
MA 20$23.81
MA 50$21.36
MA 200$20.06
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.2

Valuation

Fair Value$47.77
Target Price$24.50
Upside/Downside-9.96%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.21%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.35
Volatility59.32%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.