EPC:NYSEEdgewell Personal Care Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$22.65
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Edgewell Personal Care (EPC) is trading at $22.65, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $48, with price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales ratios under 1, suggesting a material valuation gap. Technical indicators show a bullish bias – the 20‑day SMA (≈19.29) sits comfortably under the current price, the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI is at 68, edging close to overbought territory. Volatility remains high at over 60% on a 30‑day basis, but the stock’s beta of 0.56 indicates lower market‑wide sensitivity. The company carries a heavy debt load (debt‑to‑equity ~88) and posted a negative profit margin, yet free cash flow is positive and the dividend yield of 2.65% is supported by a payout ratio well above 500%, flagging sustainability concerns. Upcoming Q1 FY2026 earnings on February 9 will be a key catalyst, potentially confirming whether the forward EPS of $2.06 can translate into improved profitability. Overall, EPC presents an undervalued, value‑oriented opportunity with defensive sector exposure, but investors should weigh the high debt, dividend sustainability, and near‑term price pressure from an elevated RSI.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and SMA alignment supporting upside
- RSI approaching overbought levels indicating short‑term caution
- Impending earnings release could drive volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap versus DCF fair value
- Defensive consumer sector footing
- Positive free cash flow despite earnings volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting financial flexibility
- Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
- Modest revenue growth and negative ROE constraining long‑term upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.60%
Profit Margin-3.48%
P/E Ratio11.0
ROE-0.71%
ROA3.20%
Debt/Equity88.36
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$117.3M
Free Cash Flow$235.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI68.6
Support$15.73
Resistance$23.55
MA 20$19.29
MA 50$20.60
MA 200$19.89
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.32
Valuation
Fair Value$47.87
Target Price$24.50
Upside/Downside8.17%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.65%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.57
Volatility60.71%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.