We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

EPC:NYSEEdgewell Personal Care Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$22.65

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Edgewell Personal Care (EPC) is trading at $22.65, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $48, with price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales ratios under 1, suggesting a material valuation gap. Technical indicators show a bullish bias – the 20‑day SMA (≈19.29) sits comfortably under the current price, the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI is at 68, edging close to overbought territory. Volatility remains high at over 60% on a 30‑day basis, but the stock’s beta of 0.56 indicates lower market‑wide sensitivity. The company carries a heavy debt load (debt‑to‑equity ~88) and posted a negative profit margin, yet free cash flow is positive and the dividend yield of 2.65% is supported by a payout ratio well above 500%, flagging sustainability concerns. Upcoming Q1 FY2026 earnings on February 9 will be a key catalyst, potentially confirming whether the forward EPS of $2.06 can translate into improved profitability. Overall, EPC presents an undervalued, value‑oriented opportunity with defensive sector exposure, but investors should weigh the high debt, dividend sustainability, and near‑term price pressure from an elevated RSI.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and SMA alignment supporting upside
  • RSI approaching overbought levels indicating short‑term caution
  • Impending earnings release could drive volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap versus DCF fair value
  • Defensive consumer sector footing
  • Positive free cash flow despite earnings volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting financial flexibility
  • Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
  • Modest revenue growth and negative ROE constraining long‑term upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.60%
Profit Margin-3.48%
P/E Ratio11.0
ROE-0.71%
ROA3.20%
Debt/Equity88.36
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$117.3M
Free Cash Flow$235.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI68.6
Support$15.73
Resistance$23.55
MA 20$19.29
MA 50$20.60
MA 200$19.89
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.32

Valuation

Fair Value$47.87
Target Price$24.50
Upside/Downside8.17%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.57
Volatility60.71%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.