EOLS:NASDAQEvolus, Inc. Common Stock Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$6.73
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Evolus, Inc. (EOLS) is trading at $6.73, comfortably above its 20‑day ($6.48), 50‑day ($5.73) and 200‑day ($5.92) moving averages, suggesting short‑term momentum despite a neutral overall trend. The RSI of 60 signals the stock is not yet overbought, while the MACD histogram is slightly negative, hinting at a modest bearish tilt. The price sits near the $5.95 support level with $6.94 resistance, and volume remains stable amid a high 30‑day volatility of over 60%, compounded by a beta of 1.21 and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment. On the fundamentals side, revenue grew 6.7% YoY to $302 M with a strong 66% gross margin, yet operating and net margins are negative (‑9.4% and ‑14.4%), cash flow is negative and the balance sheet shows $165 M of debt against a negative book value per share. Forward EPS of $0.27 translates to a forward P/E of ~25, aligning with the industry average, and analysts’ median target of $14 implies over 100% upside.
The upcoming Q1 earnings release and management’s participation in the Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference provide a near‑term catalyst, while the strong “strong_buy” consensus (6 analysts) underscores optimism. However, the company’s negative equity, high leverage, and ongoing cash‑burn raise medium‑ to long‑term concerns, making the stock a high‑risk, high‑reward proposition.
The upcoming Q1 earnings release and management’s participation in the Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference provide a near‑term catalyst, while the strong “strong_buy” consensus (6 analysts) underscores optimism. However, the company’s negative equity, high leverage, and ongoing cash‑burn raise medium‑ to long‑term concerns, making the stock a high‑risk, high‑reward proposition.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages
- Upcoming earnings catalyst
- Analyst consensus strong_buy
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Target price implies >100% upside
- Revenue growth and strong gross margin
- Improving forward earnings outlook
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Negative equity and high debt load
- Sustained operating losses and cash burn
- Regulatory and market volatility in aesthetic sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin-14.39%
P/E Ratio25.2
ROA-9.06%
P/B Ratio-15.4
Op. Cash Flow$-36585000
Free Cash Flow$-23226376
Industry P/E24.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI60.2
Support$5.95
Resistance$6.94
MA 20$6.48
MA 50$5.73
MA 200$5.92
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$14.67
Upside/Downside117.93%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.21
Volatility62.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.