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EMTK:IDXPT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

IDR 710.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

EMTK is trading at IDR 710, well below its 20‑day SMA of 837, 50‑day SMA of 934 and 200‑day SMA of 991, signaling a clear bearish technical backdrop. RSI at 31 suggests the stock is oversold, while a bearish MACD and decreasing volume reinforce short‑term downside pressure.
Fundamentally, the company appears deeply undervalued with a trailing PE of 5.8 versus an industry average of 17.9, a DCF fair value of roughly IDR 1,620 and a dividend yield of 5.39% supported by a modest 27% payout ratio. Recent inclusion in the IDX30 index and a surge in strategic shareholdings could attract institutional buying, but a recent 4.9% drop and high 30‑day volatility (≈82%) keep risk elevated.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs indicating bearish momentum
  • RSI in oversold territory offering limited upside
  • Recent price slump and decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount (PE 5.8 vs industry 17.9)
  • Inclusion in IDX30 likely to boost demand
  • Strong cash position and sustainable dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value more than double current price
  • Robust revenue growth (46.6%) and high profit margins
  • High dividend yield with low payout ratio supporting income

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth46.60%
Profit Margin43.21%
P/E Ratio5.8
ROE20.10%
ROA1.26%
Debt/Equity2.44
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowIDR1422.9B
Free Cash FlowIDR1922.7B
Industry P/E17.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.3
SupportIDR 660.00
ResistanceIDR 1,025.00
MA 20IDR 837.25
MA 50IDR 934.20
MA 200IDR 991.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.82

Valuation

Fair ValueIDR 1,620.14
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.39%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.37
Volatility81.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.