EMAAR:DFMEmaar Properties PJSC Futures Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-13 - not real-time
AED 10.90
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Emaar Properties PJSC is priced at AED 10.90 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. The last 30 days have lost 2.2%. With RSI at 43.5 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at AED 10.70 and resistance at AED 11.52.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 28.8%, a beta of -0.26 and a maximum drawdown of 37.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 28.8%, a beta of -0.26 and a maximum drawdown of 37.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top Market Events
As Gulf markets experience a surge driven by optimism over a potential US-Iran peace deal, easing geopolitical tensions...Emaar Development Reports Property Sales Of AED 22.Revenue backlog reaches AED 164.9bln US$ 44.9bln in H1 2026
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 13.01
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 13.01
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 37.7%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 28.8%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price10.9
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI43.5
SupportAED 10.70
ResistanceAED 11.52
MA 20AED 11.01
MA 50AED 11.48
MA 200AED 13.01
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.26
Volatility28.83%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.