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ECVT:NYSEEcovyst Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-30 - not real-time

$13.21

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ecovyst Inc. is trading in a bullish technical environment, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day SMA and a bullish MACD crossover reinforcing upward momentum. RSI is well above the 70 threshold, signaling that the stock is technically overbought, while volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the price advance. The price sits just above the ten‑dollar support level and is approaching the thirteen‑dollar resistance zone, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term.
Fundamentally, the company reports rapid revenue growth of over 30% year‑over‑year and a forward P/E near the mid‑teens, contrasting sharply with a trailing P/E that is extraordinarily high. The DCF analysis points to a fair value substantially above the current market price, implying a modest upside potential. However, profitability remains a concern, with a negative profit margin and modest return on equity, while the balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 70%, indicating leverage risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought territory
  • Proximity to resistance near $13
  • Strong bullish MACD signal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicating upside
  • Forward earnings growth and modest forward P/E
  • Robust revenue growth trajectory

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained top‑line growth in specialty chemicals
  • Strategic portfolio moves enhancing market position
  • Long‑term demand drivers for sulfuric acid and related products

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth34.00%
Profit Margin-9.83%
P/E Ratio264.2
ROE0.96%
ROA3.06%
Debt/Equity71.59
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$140.3M
Free Cash Flow$102.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI72.2
Support$10.78
Resistance$13.27
MA 20$11.87
MA 50$11.45
MA 200$9.48
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index67.95

Valuation

Fair Value$30.82
Target Price$14.20
Upside/Downside7.49%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.13
Volatility31.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.