DWSN:NASDAQDawson Geophysical Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-30 - not real-time
$2.98
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Dawson Geophysical is trading around $2.98, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of $3.60 but remains above the 200‑day SMA of $2.03, indicating a longer‑term bullish bias despite short‑term weakness. The RSI of 46 points to a neutral momentum environment, while the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting bearish momentum in the near term. Price is perched near the calculated support level of $2.06 and faces resistance around $4.95, with a striking 30‑day volatility of over 186% and a beta of 1.27, underscoring heightened price swings.
Fundamentally, the company posted $64.3 M in revenue, a robust 58% growth year‑over‑year, yet margins are thin (gross margin ~17%) and operating earnings are negative, reflected in a trailing EPS of –$0.10 and a forward PE of –5.95. The balance sheet shows $13.5 M of debt versus $5.1 M of cash, driving a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 89%, while the price‑to‑book sits at 6.08 against a book value of $0.49 per share. A DCF‑derived fair value of $5.04 suggests the stock is materially undervalued, but the lack of dividend and the upcoming unaudited Q4 2025 results release on March 30 adds short‑term uncertainty. The market sentiment index reads “Greed” at 67, indicating a favorable risk appetite despite the company’s financial challenges.
Fundamentally, the company posted $64.3 M in revenue, a robust 58% growth year‑over‑year, yet margins are thin (gross margin ~17%) and operating earnings are negative, reflected in a trailing EPS of –$0.10 and a forward PE of –5.95. The balance sheet shows $13.5 M of debt versus $5.1 M of cash, driving a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 89%, while the price‑to‑book sits at 6.08 against a book value of $0.49 per share. A DCF‑derived fair value of $5.04 suggests the stock is materially undervalued, but the lack of dividend and the upcoming unaudited Q4 2025 results release on March 30 adds short‑term uncertainty. The market sentiment index reads “Greed” at 67, indicating a favorable risk appetite despite the company’s financial challenges.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below 20‑day SMA and bearish MACD signal
- Upcoming unaudited earnings release adds uncertainty
- High short‑term volatility and weak momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth exceeding 50% YoY
- DCF fair value substantially above current price
- Long‑term bullish trend with price above 200‑day SMA
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from secular energy services demand
- Undervalued valuation metrics relative to fair value
- Improving cash flow generation despite current losses
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth57.70%
Profit Margin-5.15%
P/E Ratio-6.0
ROE-19.81%
ROA-5.05%
Debt/Equity88.93
P/B Ratio6.1
Op. Cash Flow$6.5M
Free Cash Flow$-65125
Industry P/E24.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI46.2
Support$2.06
Resistance$4.95
MA 20$3.60
MA 50$2.96
MA 200$2.03
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index67.09
Valuation
Fair Value$5.04
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.27
Volatility186.24%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.