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DPLM:LSEDiploma PLC Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

£5,045.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Diploma PLC is trading at its 30‑day support level of 5,045 GBp, with the 20‑day SMA (5,429) still above price, suggesting a short‑term floor. RSI sits near 32, indicating the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration, pointing to continued downside pressure in the near term. Volatility is elevated at roughly 24% over the past month, yet the beta of 0.41 signals that price swings are muted relative to the broader market. Fundamentally, the company posts solid revenue growth (~10%) and healthy operating margins, but a PE ratio of 36.8 well exceeds the industry average of 29, and the discounted cash‑flow fair value (~3,878 GBp) is substantially below the current price, flagging potential overvaluation. The dividend yield of 1.2% with a payout ratio under 45% appears sustainable given positive free cash flow and a modest debt‑to‑equity profile. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: technical signals hint at a possible rebound from support, while valuation metrics suggest caution, especially for investors seeking near‑term upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price at identified support level
  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • bearish MACD histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • revenue growth and solid margins
  • valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • stable dividend payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • diversified business segments across controls, seals, and life sciences
  • sustainable dividend supported by free cash flow
  • moderate debt levels and strong ROE

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.80%
Profit Margin12.13%
P/E Ratio36.8
ROE19.64%
ROA9.64%
Debt/Equity46.76
P/B Ratio683.5
Op. Cash Flow£267.6M
Free Cash Flow£271.2M
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.0
Support£5,045.00
Resistance£5,715.00
MA 20£5,429.00
MA 50£5,464.10
MA 200£5,312.44
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value£3,877.88
Target Price£6,040.00
Upside/Downside19.72%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.20%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.41
Volatility23.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.