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DOV:NYSEDover Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-29 - not real-time

$206.60

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Dover Corp. is trading below its short‑term moving average, with a mid‑range RSI and a bearish MACD divergence that point to limited upside in the near term. The stock’s price‑to‑earnings multiple sits just under the industry average, while revenue growth remains solid and margins are healthy, supporting a case for continued earnings expansion. A modest dividend payout ratio and strong free cash flow suggest the dividend is sustainable, and recent analyst upgrades to overweight with a price target above current levels add a positive catalyst. However, a discounted cash‑flow model indicates the fair value is well below the market price, implying the market may be over‑pricing future growth. Volatility is elevated and beta is close to the market, reflecting typical industrial cycle risk. Overall, the stock appears overvalued at present, with the most compelling case coming from its fundamental growth story rather than technical momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day SMA indicating short‑term weakness
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue and earnings growth
  • Analyst upgrade to overweight with a higher price target
  • Sustainable dividend and strong cash flow generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified industrial portfolio providing resilience
  • Valuation gap between market price and intrinsic DCF value
  • Cyclical exposure to industrial demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.80%
Profit Margin13.52%
P/E Ratio25.9
ROE15.29%
ROA6.97%
Debt/Equity48.40
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Free Cash Flow$858.9M
Industry P/E28.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.2
Support$201.79
Resistance$226.43
MA 20$212.27
MA 50$216.23
MA 200$190.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index65.98

Valuation

Fair Value$108.85
Target Price$231.96
Upside/Downside12.27%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.00%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.03
Volatility24.41%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.