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DMART:NSEDMART FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

₹4,122.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Avenue Supermarts is trading at 4,122.9 INR, comfortably below its 20‑day (4,307), 50‑day (4,268) and 200‑day (4,154) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness despite a broader bullish trend signal. RSI at 35.8 points to oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative and the MACD signal is bearish, suggesting momentum could still be lagging. Volume has been on a decreasing trajectory, which together with a high 30‑day volatility of ~24% raises concerns about near‑term price stability, though the market sentiment index shows “Extreme Greed” at 92.96, hinting at bullish investor appetite.
Given the support around 4,060 INR and resistance near 4,615 INR, the stock sits close to a key support level, and any breach could trigger further downside. However, the company’s massive market cap, low beta (≈0.28) and strong brand presence in the Indian retail sector support a medium‑term upside view, especially if consumer spending picks up and the volume trend stabilises.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Oversold RSI indicating potential rebound

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish overall trend direction
  • Extreme greed sentiment index
  • Strong market‑cap and brand positioning

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High trailing PE suggesting valuation risk
  • Stable low beta and robust cash flow generation
  • Macro exposure to Indian consumer spending

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price4122.9
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI35.8
Support₹4,059.90
Resistance₹4,615.00
MA 20₹4,307.40
MA 50₹4,268.01
MA 200₹4,154.38
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.96

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.01
Volatility23.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.