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DLPN:NASDAQDolphin Entertainment, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

$1.10

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Dolphin Entertainment (DLPN) is trading at $1.10, well below its 20‑day (1.17), 50‑day (1.32) and 200‑day (1.49) simple moving averages, signaling a sustained bearish trend. Technical indicators are mixed: the RSI sits at 32.9, suggesting oversold conditions, while the MACD line has just crossed above its signal, generating a bullish histogram cue. The stock’s 30‑day volatility is unusually high at ~59% and its beta of 1.25 points to amplified market swings. Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, a negative operating margin of –16.7%, and a heavy debt load of $27.3 M, resulting in a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 373, far above typical industry levels. However, forward earnings are projected positive (EPS 0.36) and the forward P/E of 3.06 is dramatically lower than the industry average of 16.65, implying a superficially cheap valuation. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed” (91.46), indicating speculative enthusiasm despite the weak fundamentals.
Recent news highlights DLPN’s launch of the BRANDEdit platform and its involvement with high‑profile SailGP events, which could provide short‑term visibility but do not yet translate into measurable revenue. With a max drawdown of –39.6% and modest trading volume, liquidity remains a concern, and the company’s lack of dividend payments confirms limited cash generation. Overall, the combination of high leverage, negative cash flow, and a volatile price environment suggests that any upside is speculative and heavily risk‑weighted.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support at $1.03
  • Oversold RSI indicating potential bounce
  • High debt burden limiting upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Forward EPS projection positive
  • Persistent negative operating cash flow
  • Volatile price action with beta >1

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Unsustainable debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Zero revenue and negative margins
  • Sector cyclicality and high volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.20%
P/E Ratio3.1
Debt/Equity373.68
P/B Ratio1.9
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI32.9
Support$1.03
Resistance$1.36
MA 20$1.17
MA 50$1.32
MA 200$1.49
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Target Price$5.00
Upside/Downside354.55%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.25
Volatility59.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.