TRP:TSX

TC Energy Corporation

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

CA$86.06

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The share price sits comfortably above the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, and the 30‑day volatility is moderate, supporting the current bullish trend. Volume is on the rise, while the RSI hovers in the upper‑mid range, indicating momentum is still intact. However, the MACD histogram has turned negative, signalling a potential short‑term pullback.
Fundamental perspective: Earnings multiples are stretched – the trailing PE exceeds the industry average and the market price is above the DCF‑derived fair value. Revenue growth remains robust and the company continues its 26‑year dividend‑increase streak, delivering a ~4% yield, but the payout ratio is near 100% and free cash flow is negative, raising questions about dividend sustainability given the high debt load.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages
  • Increasing trading volume
  • Bearish MACD divergence

Medium Term

1–3 years
hold
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue and EBITDA growth
  • High dividend yield with long‑term payout record
  • Elevated leverage and near‑full payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑life regulated pipeline assets
  • Consistent dividend growth and attractive yield
  • Potential for price correction toward intrinsic value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.50%
Profit Margin23.09%
P/E Ratio24.8
ROE11.44%
ROA3.57%
Debt/Equity165.37
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash FlowCA$7.3B
Free Cash FlowCA$-1839124992
Industry P/E20.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.1
SupportCA$80.73
ResistanceCA$89.68
MA 20CA$85.74
MA 50CA$80.54
MA 200CA$73.31
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair ValueCA$77.57
Target PriceCA$85.05
Upside/Downside-1.18%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.08%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.26
Volatility17.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.