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DLG:MILDe'Longhi S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

€32.60

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

De'Longhi is trading at €32.6, well below its DCF fair value of €36.07, implying roughly a 34% upside and positioning the stock as undervalued. The technical picture shows an RSI of 28.4, suggesting oversold conditions, while the MACD remains bearish and the price hovers just above the identified support of €32.5. Volatility is elevated at about 36% over the past 30 days, yet the computed beta of 0.41 indicates limited market‑wide price swings. Fundamentals are solid: revenue grew 6.9% YoY, operating margin sits at 15%, and ROE is 15.2%, supporting a blend of growth and value attributes. The dividend yield of 2.4% with a modest payout ratio of 38% appears sustainable given strong cash generation and a debt‑to‑equity of 24%. Analyst consensus is a "strong buy" with a median target of €42, reinforcing the upside narrative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price near support level
  • Significant valuation upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong earnings growth and margins
  • Sustainable dividend yield
  • Analyst median target price well above current

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Durable brand portfolio and global footprint
  • Low leverage and healthy cash flow
  • Long‑term valuation discount to intrinsic value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.90%
Profit Margin8.32%
P/E Ratio15.1
ROE15.21%
ROA7.32%
Debt/Equity23.80
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow€544.2M
Free Cash Flow€269.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI28.4
Support€32.50
Resistance€39.56
MA 20€37.04
MA 50€37.41
MA 200€32.68
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index74.64

Valuation

Fair Value€36.07
Target Price€43.60
Upside/Downside33.74%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.40%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.41
Volatility35.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.