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DLEKG:TASEDelek Group Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

ILA 109,900.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Delek Group Ltd. is trading well above its short‑term moving averages with momentum indicators such as RSI in the upper‑mid range and a bullish MACD histogram, suggesting continued upward price pressure in the near term. Technicals show the stock holding above key support levels and approaching a long‑term resistance zone, while volume is on an upward trend, reinforcing the bullish bias.
However, the fundamentals tell a cautionary tale: the market price exceeds the discounted cash‑flow fair value, the price‑to‑book multiple is exceptionally high, and the dividend payout exceeds earnings with negative free cash flow and a debt‑to‑equity ratio that is markedly elevated. These factors, combined with declining revenue growth, point to valuation concerns and raise questions about the sustainability of the generous dividend yield.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup with price above short‑term averages
  • Increasing trading volume supporting momentum
  • Valuation premium relative to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated leverage and negative free cash flow
  • Dividend payout exceeding earnings
  • Potential pressure as price approaches long‑term resistance

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Overvaluation indicated by high P/B and market price above fair value
  • Unsustainable dividend policy and high debt burden
  • Weak revenue growth and exposure to energy sector volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-14.80%
Profit Margin30.31%
P/E Ratio21.5
ROE12.45%
ROA4.82%
Debt/Equity194.52
P/B Ratio189.6
Op. Cash FlowILA5.2B
Free Cash FlowILA-25107249152
Industry P/E22.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI62.4
SupportILA 93,440.00
ResistanceILA 121,770.00
MA 20ILA 103,446.50
MA 50ILA 93,007.60
MA 200ILA 77,731.05
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueILA 96,769.53
Target PriceILA 79,600.00
Upside/Downside-27.57%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.15%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility43.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.