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DBRG:NYSEDigitalBridge Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

$15.77

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

DBRG trades at $15.77, just below its 20‑day SMA of 15.69 and above the 200‑day SMA of 14.02, indicating a bullish medium‑term trend. The MACD histogram is positive (0.0037) and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits at 65.6, suggesting momentum remains strong but not yet overbought. Support at $15.58 and resistance at $15.77 are tight, giving the stock limited near‑term upside of about 1.5% per the DCF‑derived fair value of $23.5 (upside/downside 1.46%). Volume is stable and beta under 1 (0.85) points to modest volatility (2.5% 30‑day). The fear‑greed index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong market appetite.
Fundamentally, revenue surged 58.9% YoY to $120.7 M and gross margin is 100%, yet EBITDA is negative and free cash flow is –$41.9 M, highlighting cash‑generation challenges. Debt‑to‑equity is high at 13.6 and ROE is slightly negative, while the trailing PE of 29.8 far exceeds the industry average of 16.9, suggesting the stock is priced premium to peers. The dividend yield is modest at 0.25% with a 7.5% payout, reinforcing a growth‑over‑income profile. Recent shareholder‑call material emphasized continued investment in data centers and edge infrastructure, aligning with the secular demand for digital assets.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (MACD, RSI, SMA alignment)
  • Limited near‑term upside against resistance
  • Stable volume and modest beta reducing short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth but negative free cash flow
  • High debt level and negative ROE raising earnings risk
  • Valuation premium to industry peers (PE and price‑to‑book)

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for digital infrastructure assets
  • DCF fair value suggests upside beyond current price
  • Strategic focus on data centers, fiber, and edge infrastructure

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO17.243609453154853

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI65.6
Support$15.58
Resistance$15.77
MA 20$15.69
MA 50$15.64
MA 200$14.02
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Risk Assessment

Beta0.85
Volatility2.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.