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DALBHARAT:NSEDalmia Bharat Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

₹1,890.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Dalmia Bharat’s shares are trading at ₹1,890, well below the 20‑day (₹1,998), 50‑day (₹2,078) and 200‑day (₹2,152) moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The 14‑day RSI of 34.6 places the stock in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce. A bearish MACD with a widening negative histogram reinforces the downtrend, while the price sits just above the identified support at ₹1,822. Volume has been picking up, indicating renewed trader interest despite the overall price weakness. The market’s “Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9) further supports a contrarian view for a rebound. The current price also implies an upside of roughly 27 % to the analyst median target of ₹2,455.
On the fundamentals side, revenue grew 10 % year‑on‑year to ₹146.5 bn and gross margins remain robust at 61 %, but operating cash flow and free cash flow are reported as zero, raising sustainability concerns. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 40 × and total debt of ₹70.8 bn dwarfing cash of ₹50.3 bn. Earnings multiples are elevated (PE ≈30, forward PE ≈26) relative to the sector, yet the dividend payout is modest (0.49 % yield, 14 % payout), questioning dividend durability. Analysts remain bullish, assigning a “Buy” consensus and a mean price target of ₹2,403, reflecting confidence in the company’s margin profile and growth outlook. Considering the high 30‑day volatility (≈26 %) and low beta (≈0.1), the stock is prone to sharp moves but remains insulated from broader market swings. Overall, the blend of undervalued pricing, strong margins and a cautious capital structure suggests a measured buying opportunity with medium‑term upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI indicating potential bounce
  • Price below key moving averages suggests discount
  • Increasing trading volume supports near‑term interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 10% revenue growth and strong gross margins
  • Analyst price targets imply ~27% upside
  • Improving earnings outlook with forward EPS growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio raises leverage risk
  • Zero operating cash flow questions cash generation
  • Cyclical building‑materials sector adds medium‑term uncertainty

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.20%
Profit Margin8.10%
P/E Ratio29.9
Debt/Equity39.76
P/B Ratio2.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI34.6
Support₹1,822.00
Resistance₹2,163.30
MA 20₹1,998.30
MA 50₹2,077.46
MA 200₹2,151.60
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price₹2,403.32
Upside/Downside27.16%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.49%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility25.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.