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CWY:ASXCleanaway Waste Management Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

A$2.39

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Cleanaway is trading just above a critical support zone while technical signals remain bearish, with the MACD line under the signal line and the RSI hovering near oversold territory. Volume has been stable, but the 20‑day moving average sits below the current price, underscoring the short‑term weakness.
Fundamentally the company is posting solid revenue expansion and modest profitability, yet its price‑earnings multiple is markedly higher than the sector average, raising valuation concerns. The dividend yield is appealing for income seekers, but the payout ratio exceeds earnings, questioning sustainability. Analyst consensus points to a price target that suggests notable upside, while the discounted cash flow model implies the market may be overpaying. Together, these factors paint a picture of a defensive stock with attractive yield but valuation headwinds, making the dip a potential entry point for disciplined investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near a key support level with bearish momentum
  • Technical indicators suggest limited upside in the near term
  • Upcoming dividend increase could provide short‑term support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth and defensive industry positioning
  • Analyst price targets imply meaningful upside
  • Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High valuation multiples relative to peers
  • Potential regulatory headwinds in waste management
  • Long‑term cash flow stability balanced against dividend sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.70%
Profit Margin2.94%
P/E Ratio47.8
ROE4.03%
ROA3.05%
Debt/Equity79.54
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash FlowA$455.8M
Free Cash FlowA$109.3M
Industry P/E30.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.8
SupportA$2.36
ResistanceA$2.70
MA 20A$2.45
MA 50A$2.49
MA 200A$2.68
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

Fair ValueA$0.17
Target PriceA$3.13
Upside/Downside30.96%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.71%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility30.05%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.