CTBI:NASDAQCommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time
$72.24
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Community Trust Bancorp is trading at $72.24, comfortably above its 20‑day ($69.15) and 50‑day ($67.09) moving averages, signaling a continued bullish bias. The 14‑day RSI sits at 67.4, edging into overbought territory, while the MACD line remains above its signal line, reinforcing the upward momentum. Price is holding just below the identified resistance of $73.22 and above the support at $65.01, with volume trends trending higher, though the 30‑day volatility of 22.5% suggests the stock could experience short‑term swings.
Fundamentally, CTBI posted 14.8% revenue growth, an operating margin of 50.8% and a profit margin of 37%, delivering a solid ROE of 12.5%. The forward PE of 11.5 and current PE of 12.6 are well under the industry average of 16.9, indicating relative undervaluation. A dividend yield of 2.93% with a 36% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $92 suggests modest upside potential. Low beta (0.6) and a manageable debt profile further cushion downside risk, while the recent Tipranks press release provides no new catalyst, leaving the stock’s strength rooted in its fundamentals.
Fundamentally, CTBI posted 14.8% revenue growth, an operating margin of 50.8% and a profit margin of 37%, delivering a solid ROE of 12.5%. The forward PE of 11.5 and current PE of 12.6 are well under the industry average of 16.9, indicating relative undervaluation. A dividend yield of 2.93% with a 36% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $92 suggests modest upside potential. Low beta (0.6) and a manageable debt profile further cushion downside risk, while the recent Tipranks press release provides no new catalyst, leaving the stock’s strength rooted in its fundamentals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at $73.22
- Elevated RSI indicating potential short‑term pullback
- Strong bullish technical signals (MACD, volume) support holding
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued valuation metrics (PE below industry, DCF upside)
- Robust earnings growth and high operating margins
- Sustainable dividend yield enhancing total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and solid ROE
- Low beta and defensive balance‑sheet profile
- Attractive dividend yield with ample payout coverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.80%
Profit Margin36.96%
P/E Ratio12.7
ROE12.48%
ROA1.59%
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$107.9M
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.4
Support$65.01
Resistance$73.22
MA 20$69.15
MA 50$67.09
MA 200$60.45
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.91
Valuation
Fair Value$92.07
Target Price$73.67
Upside/Downside1.97%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.93%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.60
Volatility22.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.