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CSW:NYSECSW Industrials, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

$278.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CSW Industrials posted a strong 20.3% year‑on‑year revenue increase, but both revenue and adjusted operating income fell short of analyst forecasts, highlighting short‑term execution pressure. The company’s margins remain modest, with a gross margin of 42.7% and an operating margin of just 7.4%, well below the management goal of >20% by late‑2026. Valuation metrics are stretched: the trailing P/E of 36.8 sits well above the industry average of 29.7, and the discounted cash‑flow fair value of roughly $94 is far beneath the current price of $278, implying the stock is substantially overvalued. Technical signals reinforce this view – the MACD is bearish, the 20‑day SMA sits just below the 50‑day SMA, and the 30‑day volatility is a lofty 47.7%, while the beta of ~1.4 signals higher than market risk. Nonetheless, the dividend yield of 0.4% is modest but sustainable given a low payout ratio of 14%, and the company’s cash flow remains positive with free cash flow of $80.8 M. Analyst consensus points to upside, with median target prices around $307, suggesting that a turnaround in margins could re‑align price with fundamentals over the medium horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings miss and weaker operating income
  • Bearish MACD and high short‑term volatility
  • Current price far above DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Management’s margin‑improvement plan targeting >20% by year‑end
  • Strong revenue growth trajectory
  • Analyst target median price indicating upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside from successful consolidation and pricing strategy
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Long‑term industry demand for specialty industrial machinery

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.30%
Profit Margin12.64%
P/E Ratio36.8
ROE11.87%
ROA6.10%
Debt/Equity80.70
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow$178.6M
Free Cash Flow$80.8M
Industry P/E29.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI53.1
Support$251.45
Resistance$302.16
MA 20$273.68
MA 50$274.14
MA 200$274.87
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$94.20
Target Price$322.71
Upside/Downside16.08%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.40%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.44
Volatility47.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.