CSGP:NASDAQCoStar Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$33.95
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CoStar Group (CSGP) is trading near $34, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $16, indicating a significant premium. Revenue growth of 22.5% YoY and a recent earnings beat, with non‑GAAP EPS of $0.27 surpassing consensus, highlight strong top‑line momentum. However, the stock carries an astronomical trailing P/E of 485 versus an industry average of 32.7, underscoring an overvalued market price. Technicals show a bearish bias: price sits below the 20‑day SMA (≈33.96) and 50‑day SMA (≈37.71), with the 200‑day SMA still far higher, while the MACD line is negative though the histogram turned modestly bullish. Volume is increasing, but volatility remains elevated at over 38% for the past 30 days, and the RSI sits around 42, suggesting limited upside momentum. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 14.5, yet cash levels nearly equal debt, providing a cushion but also flagging leverage concerns.
In the medium to long term, the company’s diversified data platforms and recurring subscription model support a growth narrative, but the current valuation gap and bearish technical backdrop temper enthusiasm. Investors should weigh the strong revenue trajectory against the steep discount to intrinsic value and heightened volatility before deciding on entry timing.
In the medium to long term, the company’s diversified data platforms and recurring subscription model support a growth narrative, but the current valuation gap and bearish technical backdrop temper enthusiasm. Investors should weigh the strong revenue trajectory against the steep discount to intrinsic value and heightened volatility before deciding on entry timing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
- Current price far above DCF fair value
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust 22.5% revenue growth and earnings beat
- Forward P/E around 19 suggests improving valuation
- Strong cash balance offsetting high debt levels
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Durable competitive moat in real‑estate data and marketplace services
- Recurring subscription revenue driving sustainable growth
- Potential price correction aligning market price with intrinsic value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth22.50%
Profit Margin0.73%
P/E Ratio485.0
ROE0.30%
ROA-0.16%
Debt/Equity14.53
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$529.0M
Free Cash Flow$202.2M
Industry P/E32.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.9
Support$31.36
Resistance$37.39
MA 20$33.96
MA 50$37.71
MA 200$62.00
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value$16.19
Target Price$49.05
Upside/Downside44.48%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.62
Volatility38.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.