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CRS:NYSECarpenter Technology Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time

$483.60

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Carpenter Technology is trading well above its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, and the MACD remains in bullish territory, suggesting continued upward momentum despite an RSI that points to near‑overbought conditions. The stock sits near a key resistance level, with a solid support cushion well below the current price, while beta and recent volatility indicate heightened sensitivity to market swings.
Fundamentally, the company commands a premium valuation—its price‑to‑earnings multiple far exceeds the industry average and the discounted cash‑flow estimate is dramatically lower than the market price, implying the stock is overvalued in the near term. Nevertheless, revenue is growing at double‑digit rates, margins are healthy, cash flow is robust, and the modest dividend payout signals sustainability, positioning CRS as a growth‑oriented name with a low‑risk dividend profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near 52‑week high and key resistance
  • Elevated RSI and higher beta increasing pull‑back risk
  • Valuation gap between market price and DCF estimate

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue and margin expansion
  • Strong operating and free cash flow generation
  • Low dividend payout supporting financial flexibility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand in aerospace, defense, and medical markets
  • Robust return on equity and solid balance sheet
  • Sustainable dividend with ample cash coverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.60%
Profit Margin15.82%
P/E Ratio51.0
ROE24.89%
ROA11.33%
Debt/Equity33.82
P/B Ratio11.6
Op. Cash Flow$623.0M
Free Cash Flow$300.7M
Industry P/E30.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI65.0
Support$390.00
Resistance$500.16
MA 20$447.23
MA 50$432.11
MA 200$342.80
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Fair Value$121.95
Target Price$459.50
Upside/Downside-4.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.43
Volatility42.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.