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CRH:LSECRH public limited company Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

£7,595.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CRH plc is trading at 7,595 GBp, just above the identified support level of 7,484 GBp and well below its 20‑day SMA of 8,633 GBp, indicating a potential near‑term price floor. The 14‑day RSI sits at 25.7, placing the stock in oversold territory and suggesting a possible short‑term bounce. Conversely, the MACD line remains bearish, sitting below its signal line and generating a negative histogram, which tempers the upside expectation. Valuation metrics are stretched: the forward P/E of 15.1 contrasts sharply with a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 2,614 GBp, implying the market is pricing in a premium of nearly three times intrinsic value. The price‑to‑book ratio of 284× further underscores the overvaluation. Despite the lofty price, the company delivers a solid 6.2 % revenue growth year‑over‑year and an ROE of 15.7 %, supporting its earnings trajectory.
CRH’s dividend yield of 1.44 % and a modest payout ratio of 27 % indicate that the current dividend is sustainable and can provide a modest income buffer. Operating cash flow of £5.6 bn and free cash flow of £1.84 bn demonstrate ample liquidity to fund growth and return capital. The beta of 0.82 suggests lower systematic risk than the broader market, while 30‑day volatility of 34 % reflects a moderately volatile environment. Geographically, the firm is diversified across North America and Europe, mitigating single‑region exposure. Regulatory exposure is moderate, given the building‑materials sector’s environmental and safety standards. Overall, the combination of strong fundamentals, sustainable dividend, and diversified operations provides a resilient foundation, but the current pricing gap signals caution for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicates oversold condition
  • MACD remains bearish
  • Price hovering just above support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue growth of 6.2%
  • Sustainable dividend with 27% payout
  • Diversified geographic exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong ROE around 15.7%
  • Robust cash flow generation
  • Long‑term infrastructure demand supporting building‑materials sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.20%
Profit Margin10.02%
P/E Ratio18.5
ROE15.68%
ROA6.13%
Debt/Equity77.34
P/B Ratio283.9
Op. Cash Flow£5.6B
Free Cash Flow£1.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI25.7
Support£7,484.00
Resistance£9,464.00
MA 20£8,633.45
MA 50£8,953.26
MA 200£8,337.92
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index73.57

Valuation

Fair Value£2,614.10
Target Price£10,460.53
Upside/Downside37.73%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.44%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.82
Volatility34.05%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.