COLBUN:BCSColbun SA Registered Shs Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
CLP 131.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Colbún is trading at 131 CLP, well under its 20‑day (≈137), 50‑day (≈143) and 200‑day (≈146) simple moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish momentum. The 14‑day RSI of 36.9 and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce the downside bias, while the price sits just above a key support level near 128 CLP.
On the valuation side, the stock’s trailing PE of 13.4 is markedly below the industry average of 23.4, and the forward PE of 8.7 suggests earnings growth ahead. Analysts’ consensus targets around 171 CLP imply roughly 30 % upside, and the DCF model also flags a similar upside potential. A dividend yield of 4.17 % with a 55 % payout ratio provides solid income, though the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~79 % and a price‑to‑book of 708, reflecting significant leverage and a market premium on regulated assets. Volatility is elevated at 27 % over the past 30 days, yet beta is low (≈0.3), indicating limited market‑wide price swings. Overall, the blend of undervalued earnings multiples, attractive dividend, and sizable upside buffer the near‑term technical weakness, positioning Colbún as a value‑oriented play with income appeal.
On the valuation side, the stock’s trailing PE of 13.4 is markedly below the industry average of 23.4, and the forward PE of 8.7 suggests earnings growth ahead. Analysts’ consensus targets around 171 CLP imply roughly 30 % upside, and the DCF model also flags a similar upside potential. A dividend yield of 4.17 % with a 55 % payout ratio provides solid income, though the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~79 % and a price‑to‑book of 708, reflecting significant leverage and a market premium on regulated assets. Volatility is elevated at 27 % over the past 30 days, yet beta is low (≈0.3), indicating limited market‑wide price swings. Overall, the blend of undervalued earnings multiples, attractive dividend, and sizable upside buffer the near‑term technical weakness, positioning Colbún as a value‑oriented play with income appeal.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price hovering just above support
- bearish technical indicators (RSI, MACD)
- high dividend yield offering downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- significant upside to analyst target (~30%)
- trailing PE well below industry average
- stable operating cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- regulated utility business with predictable cash flows
- attractive dividend yield and low beta
- valuation gap indicated by low PE and DCF upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.10%
Profit Margin11.73%
P/E Ratio13.4
ROE5.77%
ROA2.49%
Debt/Equity78.80
P/B Ratio708.1
Op. Cash FlowCLP476.9M
Free Cash FlowCLP-42372752
Industry P/E23.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI36.9
SupportCLP 128.01
ResistanceCLP 147.73
MA 20CLP 137.39
MA 50CLP 143.18
MA 200CLP 145.92
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueCLP 0.19
Target PriceCLP 171.30
Upside/Downside30.76%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility27.49%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.