CNA:NYSECNA Financial Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
$46.59
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CNA Financial trades at a trailing P/E of 9.9, well below the industry average of 16.3, and offers a dividend yield of 4.1% with a payout ratio under 40%, indicating attractive income potential. The stock sits just above its technical support at $46.21 and below the 20‑day SMA of $48.20, reflecting a bullish long‑term trend despite a recent bearish MACD crossover and a RSI of 39 that hints at slight oversold conditions. Q4 earnings missed consensus estimates, yet the board raised the dividend, signaling confidence in cash flow, while analysts have a underperform rating and a target price of $43, suggesting near‑term downside pressure. The company’s balance sheet shows modest leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~27%) and strong free cash flow, supporting the sustainability of the dividend. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at roughly 26% but beta remains low at 0.43, indicating limited market‑wide risk. Overall, CNA appears undervalued from a fundamentals standpoint, but short‑term technical weakness and earnings disappointment temper immediate optimism.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Q4 earnings miss and bearish MACD signal
- Proximity to technical support level
- Analyst underperform rating with lower target price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount to peers
- Strong dividend yield and sustainable payout
- Low beta offsetting moderate volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fundamentally cheap (low P/E, low P/B) relative to industry
- Robust cash generation supporting dividend continuity
- Potential upside if market re‑prices the DCF fair value gap
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin8.53%
P/E Ratio9.9
ROE11.55%
ROA1.61%
Debt/Equity27.44
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$2.5B
Free Cash Flow$2.3B
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI39.3
Support$46.21
Resistance$50.12
MA 20$48.20
MA 50$47.74
MA 200$46.62
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value$136.67
Target Price$43.00
Upside/Downside-7.71%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.12%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.43
Volatility25.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.