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CENCOSUD:BCSCencosud S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

CLP 2,605.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with a bearish MACD histogram and a RSI that sits in the lower‑mid range, indicating continued downside pressure but a hint of oversold conditions. Fundamental backdrop: Revenue is contracting and profit margins are thin, while leverage is elevated with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 100%, though cash flow remains positive and the dividend payout is modest.
Given the bearish price action, high debt load and modest earnings growth, the near‑term bias is cautious, but the low beta and attractive price‑to‑sales multiple suggest some upside potential if earnings stabilize and the company can manage its balance sheet.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • bearish MACD and negative histogram
  • elevated leverage

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • forward earnings estimates improving
  • low price‑to‑sales multiple
  • steady dividend with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • potential upside from balance‑sheet de‑leveraging
  • diversified retail footprint across multiple growth markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-8.10%
Profit Margin1.90%
P/E Ratio23.0
ROE7.52%
ROA3.59%
Debt/Equity104.22
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash FlowCLP1089.0B
Free Cash FlowCLP271.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI32.8
SupportCLP 2,504.10
ResistanceCLP 3,052.90
MA 20CLP 2,774.96
MA 50CLP 2,955.43
MA 200CLP 2,965.91
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target PriceCLP 3,208.00
Upside/Downside23.15%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.56%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.29
Volatility34.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.