CEG:NASDAQConstellation Energy Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$294.07
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading near its short‑term moving averages but remains below the long‑term average, with a bearish MACD divergence and a neutral RSI. High 30‑day volatility and an elevated beta suggest pronounced price swings.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue growth is robust and earnings are expanding, yet the balance sheet shows substantial debt and negative free cash flow despite positive operating cash flow. Valuation metrics sit above industry averages, and the dividend yield is modest with a low payout ratio, indicating potential sustainability. Market sentiment: Analysts are bullish, citing AI‑related growth opportunities and a recent acquisition that could enhance the generation mix, while recent earnings beat has reinforced optimism.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue growth is robust and earnings are expanding, yet the balance sheet shows substantial debt and negative free cash flow despite positive operating cash flow. Valuation metrics sit above industry averages, and the dividend yield is modest with a low payout ratio, indicating potential sustainability. Market sentiment: Analysts are bullish, citing AI‑related growth opportunities and a recent acquisition that could enhance the generation mix, while recent earnings beat has reinforced optimism.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and elevated volatility
- Recent earnings beat supporting price stability
- Increasing trading volume indicating interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and expanding EPS
- Analyst target prices implying upside
- Strategic AI and acquisition-driven growth narrative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable dividend with low payout ratio
- High leverage and negative free cash flow
- Long‑term exposure to diversified generation assets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth63.80%
Profit Margin12.69%
P/E Ratio25.6
ROE16.10%
ROA4.20%
Debt/Equity66.43
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$4.6B
Free Cash Flow$-4478875136
Industry P/E22.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI51.7
Support$256.10
Resistance$328.80
MA 20$295.62
MA 50$293.87
MA 200$324.11
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8
Valuation
Fair Value$254.18
Target Price$365.73
Upside/Downside24.37%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.58%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.54
Volatility51.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.