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CDW:NASDAQCDW Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$118.65

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CDW is trading below its short‑term moving average while the relative strength index sits in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce but still a bearish technical backdrop. The MACD line remains beneath its signal line with a negative histogram, reinforcing the bearish momentum, and volume has been trending lower, hinting at waning buying interest. Fundamentally, the company delivers modest revenue growth and solid cash generation, supporting a dividend that yields above two percent with a low payout ratio, indicating sustainability. However, the balance sheet shows a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio, raising concerns about leverage despite ample operating cash flow. The price‑to‑earnings multiple is well below the industry average, yet a discounted cash‑flow model places fair value well beneath the current market price, flagging a possible overvaluation. Market sentiment is buoyant, reflected by an extreme‑greed reading on the fear‑and‑greed index, which may be overstating optimism. Given the high 30‑day volatility and a beta modestly above one, the stock exhibits heightened price swings relative to the broader market. Recent earnings reports highlighted a mixed picture: revenue beat expectations while earnings per share fell short, adding to the uncertainty. The company’s strategic filing for a mixed securities shelf provides flexibility for future capital raises, which could dilute shareholders if exercised. Overall, the juxtaposition of strong cash flow and dividend appeal against elevated leverage and bearish technical signals creates a nuanced outlook. Investors should weigh the dividend’s attractiveness and cash generation against the overvalued price and debt load before acting.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • oversold RSI indicating potential rebound
  • declining volume and bearish MACD

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • steady revenue growth and cash flow generation
  • sustainable dividend with low payout
  • high leverage and overvalued market price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • strong free cash flow supporting dividend continuity
  • industry position in IT services with growth potential
  • potential price correction aligning market price with intrinsic value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.30%
Profit Margin4.76%
P/E Ratio14.7
ROE43.02%
ROA6.81%
Debt/Equity236.87
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash Flow$1.2B
Free Cash Flow$920.4M
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI34.0
Support$117.00
Resistance$144.46
MA 20$125.40
MA 50$129.53
MA 200$154.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value$86.06
Target Price$167.40
Upside/Downside41.09%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.12%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.13
Volatility40.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.