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CAH:NYSECardinal Health, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$222.28

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Cardinal Health is trading at $222.28, just above its 20‑day SMA of $223.64 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of $215.64, indicating short‑term price strength while still below the 200‑day SMA of $179.78, underscoring a longer‑term bullish bias. The RSI sits at 51.8, suggesting neutral momentum, and the MACD histogram is negative (-1.31) despite a bullish trend direction, hinting at a possible short‑term pullback within an overall uptrend. The stock respects a clear support zone near $213.58 and faces resistance around $233.60, with volume trending higher, reinforcing confidence in the upside move. Volatility is elevated at ~40% over the past 30 days, but the low beta of 0.32 points to limited market‑wide risk exposure. Fundamentals show 19% revenue growth, expanding margins, and a forward EPS of $11.58, while the PE of 31.9 exceeds the industry average of 25.4, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $668 suggests the market is significantly undervaluing the company, translating to a 12% upside relative to current price. Dividend sustainability looks solid with a 0.92% yield, a 29% payout ratio, and strong operating cash flow. Recent analyst upgrades to “Buy” and a target median price of $255 reflect confidence in continued earnings momentum. Overall, the blend of technical support, strong cash generation, and a massive valuation gap supports a positive outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support at $213.58 with increasing volume
  • Negative MACD histogram suggesting short‑term caution
  • Neutral RSI indicating no overbought condition

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and margin expansion
  • Analyst upgrades and target median price of $255
  • Valuation gap with DCF fair value far above current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained cash flow supporting dividend and debt repayment
  • Low beta and defensive healthcare sector positioning
  • Long‑term bullish trend supported by 200‑day SMA and upside potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.80%
Profit Margin0.68%
P/E Ratio31.9
ROA3.50%
P/B Ratio-18.2
Op. Cash Flow$6.1B
Free Cash Flow$5.4B
Industry P/E25.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.8
Support$213.58
Resistance$233.60
MA 20$223.64
MA 50$215.64
MA 200$179.78
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$668.28
Target Price$249.27
Upside/Downside12.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.92%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility40.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.