BX:NYSEBlackstone Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$110.65
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Blackstone’s stock is trading at $110.65, well below its 20‑day SMA of $121.3 and the 50‑day SMA of $139.2, with an RSI of 31 indicating oversold conditions. Technical indicators such as a bearish MACD and a price hovering just above the $105 support level suggest limited upside in the near term, while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 44% and a beta above 1.5 highlight heightened market sensitivity. The dividend yield of 4.29% is attractive, but a payout ratio exceeding 120% raises concerns about sustainability. Moreover, the DCF‑derived fair value of $91 is markedly below the current price, implying the stock is overvalued on a valuation basis.
Fundamentally, Blackstone delivered a 50% revenue surge YoY and its forward PE has compressed to 14x, supporting a strong earnings growth narrative. Recent strategic moves, including the launch of a public vehicle to acquire AI data centers and a $10 billion debt deal in women’s healthcare, bolster the growth case. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of $161, indicating a potential upside of over 40% from today’s level. However, the recent Blue Owl redemption freeze and the high leverage profile introduce credit‑related risk that could temper long‑term returns.
Fundamentally, Blackstone delivered a 50% revenue surge YoY and its forward PE has compressed to 14x, supporting a strong earnings growth narrative. Recent strategic moves, including the launch of a public vehicle to acquire AI data centers and a $10 billion debt deal in women’s healthcare, bolster the growth case. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of $161, indicating a potential upside of over 40% from today’s level. However, the recent Blue Owl redemption freeze and the high leverage profile introduce credit‑related risk that could temper long‑term returns.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with oversold momentum
- High dividend yield offset by unsustainable payout
- Elevated volatility and beta increasing short‑term risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Robust 50% revenue growth and improving forward PE
- Strategic expansion into AI data centers and healthcare
- Analyst consensus buy rating with median target $161
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term fee‑based income and diversified asset base
- Potential valuation correction given current overvaluation
- Sustainability concerns around dividend payout and leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth50.60%
Profit Margin21.24%
P/E Ratio28.5
ROE29.23%
ROA13.26%
Debt/Equity66.53
P/B Ratio10.0
Op. Cash Flow$4.7B
Industry P/E17.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI31.3
Support$105.09
Resistance$136.49
MA 20$121.32
MA 50$139.17
MA 200$153.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Fair Value$91.31
Target Price$162.26
Upside/Downside46.65%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.57
Volatility43.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.