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BX:NYSEBlackstone Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$110.65

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Blackstone’s stock is trading at $110.65, well below its 20‑day SMA of $121.3 and the 50‑day SMA of $139.2, with an RSI of 31 indicating oversold conditions. Technical indicators such as a bearish MACD and a price hovering just above the $105 support level suggest limited upside in the near term, while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 44% and a beta above 1.5 highlight heightened market sensitivity. The dividend yield of 4.29% is attractive, but a payout ratio exceeding 120% raises concerns about sustainability. Moreover, the DCF‑derived fair value of $91 is markedly below the current price, implying the stock is overvalued on a valuation basis.
Fundamentally, Blackstone delivered a 50% revenue surge YoY and its forward PE has compressed to 14x, supporting a strong earnings growth narrative. Recent strategic moves, including the launch of a public vehicle to acquire AI data centers and a $10 billion debt deal in women’s healthcare, bolster the growth case. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of $161, indicating a potential upside of over 40% from today’s level. However, the recent Blue Owl redemption freeze and the high leverage profile introduce credit‑related risk that could temper long‑term returns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with oversold momentum
  • High dividend yield offset by unsustainable payout
  • Elevated volatility and beta increasing short‑term risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust 50% revenue growth and improving forward PE
  • Strategic expansion into AI data centers and healthcare
  • Analyst consensus buy rating with median target $161

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term fee‑based income and diversified asset base
  • Potential valuation correction given current overvaluation
  • Sustainability concerns around dividend payout and leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth50.60%
Profit Margin21.24%
P/E Ratio28.5
ROE29.23%
ROA13.26%
Debt/Equity66.53
P/B Ratio10.0
Op. Cash Flow$4.7B
Industry P/E17.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.3
Support$105.09
Resistance$136.49
MA 20$121.32
MA 50$139.17
MA 200$153.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$91.31
Target Price$162.26
Upside/Downside46.65%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.29%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.57
Volatility43.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.