BRPT:IDXPT Barito Pacific Tbk Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
IDR 1,370.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, underscoring a strong bearish bias. RSI is deep in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce, yet the MACD remains bearish, reinforcing downside momentum. Volatility is extremely high while beta is exceptionally low, indicating price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than by broader market moves. Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating margins, weak cash conversion and a debt‑to‑equity ratio far above the comfort zone, flagging balance‑sheet stress. Valuation multiples such as price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales are astronomically high, and the DCF fair value is a tiny fraction of the current market price, pointing to significant overvaluation. No dividend is paid, eliminating yield‑focused appeal.
Liquidity appears adequate with rising volume, but the market cap is large relative to earnings, raising concerns about price sustainability. Support sits just above the current price, while resistance lies far higher, limiting realistic upside potential. The lack of recent news means the outlook is driven primarily by these technical and fundamental signals. Overall, the combination of a bearish technical setup, deteriorating fundamentals and extreme overvaluation suggests a cautious stance.
Liquidity appears adequate with rising volume, but the market cap is large relative to earnings, raising concerns about price sustainability. Support sits just above the current price, while resistance lies far higher, limiting realistic upside potential. The lack of recent news means the outlook is driven primarily by these technical and fundamental signals. Overall, the combination of a bearish technical setup, deteriorating fundamentals and extreme overvaluation suggests a cautious stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Support level just below current price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Negative operating margins and weak cash flow
- Extremely high valuation multiples
- High debt burden with a weak balance sheet
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential for restructuring or asset divestitures
- Exposure to growing petrochemical demand in the region
- Absence of dividend reduces long‑term income appeal
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth350.90%
Profit Margin9.75%
P/E Ratio12.4
ROE35.88%
ROA0.27%
Debt/Equity107.82
P/B Ratio57083.3
Op. Cash FlowIDR384.8M
Free Cash FlowIDR-1102930048
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI21.8
SupportIDR 1,330.00
ResistanceIDR 2,330.00
MA 20IDR 1,822.25
MA 50IDR 2,308.10
MA 200IDR 2,624.55
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueIDR 0.07
Target PriceIDR 2,444.68
Upside/Downside78.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility85.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.