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BRPT:IDXPT Barito Pacific Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

IDR 1,370.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, underscoring a strong bearish bias. RSI is deep in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce, yet the MACD remains bearish, reinforcing downside momentum. Volatility is extremely high while beta is exceptionally low, indicating price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than by broader market moves. Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating margins, weak cash conversion and a debt‑to‑equity ratio far above the comfort zone, flagging balance‑sheet stress. Valuation multiples such as price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales are astronomically high, and the DCF fair value is a tiny fraction of the current market price, pointing to significant overvaluation. No dividend is paid, eliminating yield‑focused appeal.
Liquidity appears adequate with rising volume, but the market cap is large relative to earnings, raising concerns about price sustainability. Support sits just above the current price, while resistance lies far higher, limiting realistic upside potential. The lack of recent news means the outlook is driven primarily by these technical and fundamental signals. Overall, the combination of a bearish technical setup, deteriorating fundamentals and extreme overvaluation suggests a cautious stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Support level just below current price

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Negative operating margins and weak cash flow
  • Extremely high valuation multiples
  • High debt burden with a weak balance sheet

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential for restructuring or asset divestitures
  • Exposure to growing petrochemical demand in the region
  • Absence of dividend reduces long‑term income appeal

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth350.90%
Profit Margin9.75%
P/E Ratio12.4
ROE35.88%
ROA0.27%
Debt/Equity107.82
P/B Ratio57083.3
Op. Cash FlowIDR384.8M
Free Cash FlowIDR-1102930048

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI21.8
SupportIDR 1,330.00
ResistanceIDR 2,330.00
MA 20IDR 1,822.25
MA 50IDR 2,308.10
MA 200IDR 2,624.55
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueIDR 0.07
Target PriceIDR 2,444.68
Upside/Downside78.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility85.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.