BOQ:ASXBank of Queensland Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time
A$6.26
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Bearish technical setup: the stock trades below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with a bearish trend direction and a decreasing volume profile. RSI sits in neutral territory around the mid‑40s and the MACD histogram is marginally positive, indicating only a faint bullish signal.
Fundamental contrast: despite a trailing PE far above the industry average, the discounted cash‑flow model places fair value at roughly double the current price, suggesting significant undervaluation. The dividend yield exceeds 6% but the payout ratio is well above 100%, raising questions about sustainability. The upcoming federal budget is expected to favour high‑yield Australian dividend stocks, which could provide a catalyst for BOQ.
Fundamental contrast: despite a trailing PE far above the industry average, the discounted cash‑flow model places fair value at roughly double the current price, suggesting significant undervaluation. The dividend yield exceeds 6% but the payout ratio is well above 100%, raising questions about sustainability. The upcoming federal budget is expected to favour high‑yield Australian dividend stocks, which could provide a catalyst for BOQ.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- Decreasing volume trend
- Neutral RSI and weak MACD signal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF‑based undervaluation
- Potential budget‑driven dividend support
- Attractive dividend yield despite payout concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental undervaluation relative to intrinsic value
- Stable earnings base from retail and business banking
- Long‑term dividend income potential if payout ratio improves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.00%
Profit Margin5.89%
P/E Ratio41.7
ROE1.64%
ROA0.10%
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowA$2.0B
Industry P/E16.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.3
SupportA$6.09
ResistanceA$6.52
MA 20A$6.29
MA 50A$6.69
MA 200A$6.84
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.18
Valuation
Fair ValueA$12.74
Target PriceA$6.33
Upside/Downside1.18%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.39%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.44
Volatility33.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.